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Related papers: SurvivalPFN: Amortizing Survival Prediction via In…

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There has been increasing interest in modeling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. In this paper, we proposed a Bayesian hierarchical deep neural networks model for modeling and prediction of survival data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Dai Feng , Lili Zhao

Models for predicting the time of a future event are crucial for risk assessment, across a diverse range of applications. Existing time-to-event (survival) models have focused primarily on preserving pairwise ordering of estimated event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-14 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chenyang Tao , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed as a promising way to train tabular foundation models. PFNs are transformers that are pre-trained on synthetic data generated from a prespecified prior distribution and that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Yuchen Ma , Dennis Frauen , Emil Javurek , Stefan Feuerriegel

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

Ranked set sampling (RSS) is a cost-efficient study design that uses inexpensive baseline ranking to select a more informative subset of individuals for full measurement. While RSS is well known to improve precision over simple random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Nabil Awan , Richard J. Chappell

Data preprocessing is often paid little attention in machine learning, despite its potentially significant impact on model performance. While automated machine learning pipelines are starting to recognize and integrate data preprocessing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yousef Koka , David Selby , Gerrit Großmann , Kathan Pandya , Sebastian Vollmer

Survival prediction plays a crucial role in assisting clinicians with the development of cancer treatment protocols. Recent evidence shows that multimodal data can help in the diagnosis of cancer disease and improve survival prediction.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Ruiquan Ge , Xiangyang Hu , Rungen Huang , Gangyong Jia , Yaqi Wang , Renshu Gu , Changmiao Wang , Elazab Ahmed , Linyan Wang , Juan Ye , Ye Li

Foundation models for tabular data, such as the Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network (TabPFN), are pre-trained on a massive number of synthetic datasets generated by structural causal models (SCM). They leverage in-context learning to offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Qinyi Liu , Mohammad Khalil , Naman Goel

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rebecca Farina , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Uncertainty quantification of prediction models through prediction sets is increasingly popular and successful, but most existing methods rely on directly observing the outcome and do not appropriately handle censored outcomes, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Wenwen Si , Hongxiang Qiu

Factorial analyses offer a powerful nonparametric means to detect main or interaction effects among multiple treatments. For survival outcomes, e.g. from clinical trials, such techniques can be adopted for comparing reasonable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Takeshi Emura , Marc Ditzhaus , Dennis Dobler , Kenta Murotani

Survival Analysis (SA) models the time until an event occurs, with applications in fields like medicine, defense, finance, and aerospace. Recent research indicates that Neural Networks (NNs) can effectively capture complex data patterns in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-08 Michael Potter , Stefano Maxenti , Michael Everett

This paper introduces a Random Survival Forest (RSF) method for functional data. The focus is specifically on defining a new functional data structure, the Censored Functional Data (CFD), for dealing with temporal observations that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Elvira Romano , Giuseppe Loffredo , Fabrizio Maturo

Algorithmic fairness is an increasingly important field concerned with detecting and mitigating biases in machine learning models. There has been a wealth of literature for algorithmic fairness in regression and classification however there…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Raphael Sonabend , Florian Pfisterer , Alan Mishler , Moritz Schauer , Lukas Burk , Sumantrak Mukherjee , Sebastian Vollmer

Machine Learning systems are increasingly prevalent across healthcare, law enforcement, and finance but often operate on historical data, which may carry biases against certain demographic groups. Causal and counterfactual fairness provides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Jake Robertson , Noah Hollmann , Noor Awad , Frank Hutter

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of variational inference in latent variable models for survival analysis, emphasizing the distinctive challenges associated with applying variational methods to survival data. We identify a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Chuanhui Liu , Xiao Wang

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller
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