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Binomial data with unknown sizes often appear in biological and medical sciences and are usually overdispersed. All previous methods used parametric models and only considered overdispersion due to the variation of sizes. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Zhang

In this work, we investigate the behavior of ridge regression in an overparameterized binary classification task. We assume examples are drawn from (anisotropic) class-conditional cluster distributions with opposing means and we allow for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Alexander Tsigler , Luiz F. O. Chamon , Spencer Frei , Peter L. Bartlett

We perform a study on kernel regression for large-dimensional data (where the sample size $n$ is polynomially depending on the dimension $d$ of the samples, i.e., $n\asymp d^{\gamma}$ for some $\gamma >0$ ). We first build a general tool to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-01 Weihao Lu , Haobo Zhang , Yicheng Li , Manyun Xu , Qian Lin

Modern machine learning systems such as deep neural networks are often highly over-parameterized so that they can fit the noisy training data exactly, yet they can still achieve small test errors in practice. In this paper, we study this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Yuan Cao , Quanquan Gu , Mikhail Belkin

We forecast a single time series using a high-dimensional set of predictors. When these predictors share common underlying dynamics, an approximate latent factor model provides a powerful characterization of their co-movements Bai(2003).…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Rajveer Jat , Daanish Padha

Recent successes of massively overparameterized models have inspired a new line of work investigating the underlying conditions that enable overparameterized models to generalize well. This paper considers a framework where the possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale , Anders Ahlén

We propose a quantum algorithm based on ridge regression model, which get the optimal fitting parameters w and a regularization hyperparameter {\alpha} by analysing the training dataset. The algorithm consists of two subalgorithms. One is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-28 Menghan Chen , Chaohua Yu , Gongde Guo , Song Lin

Over-parameterized models, such as large deep networks, often exhibit a double descent phenomenon, whereas a function of model size, error first decreases, increases, and decreases at last. This intriguing double descent behavior also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Reinhard Heckel , Fatih Furkan Yilmaz

This paper presents novel methods and theories for estimation and inference about parameters in econometric models using machine learning for nuisance parameters estimation when data are dyadic. We propose a dyadic cross fitting method to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Harold D Chiang , Yukun Ma , Joel Rodrigue , Yuya Sasaki

Standard conformal prediction offers a marginal guarantee on coverage, but for prediction sets to be truly useful, they should ideally ensure coverage conditional on each test point. Unfortunately, it is impossible to achieve exact,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jivat Neet Kaur , Michael I. Jordan , Ahmed Alaa

A key challenge in building theoretical foundations for deep learning is the complex optimization dynamics of neural networks, resulting from the high-dimensional interactions between the large number of network parameters. Such non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Mohammad Pezeshki , Amartya Mitra , Yoshua Bengio , Guillaume Lajoie

The sudden appearance of modern machine learning (ML) phenomena like double descent and benign overfitting may leave many classically trained statisticians feeling uneasy -- these phenomena appear to go against the very core of statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-30 Alicia Curth

Fitting models to data using Bayesian inference is quite common, but when each point in parameter space gives a curve, fitting the curve to a data set requires new nuisance parameters, which specify the metric embedding the one-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew W. Steiner

While large training datasets generally offer improvement in model performance, the training process becomes computationally expensive and time consuming. Distributed learning is a common strategy to reduce the overall training time by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Nicole Mücke , Enrico Reiss , Jonas Rungenhagen , Markus Klein

The literature on "benign overfitting" in overparameterized models has been mostly restricted to regression or binary classification; however, modern machine learning operates in the multiclass setting. Motivated by this discrepancy, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-13 Ke Wang , Vidya Muthukumar , Christos Thrampoulidis

Modern machine learning models with high accuracy are often miscalibrated -- the predicted top probability does not reflect the actual accuracy, and tends to be over-confident. It is commonly believed that such over-confidence is mainly due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong

The phenomenon of benign overfitting, where a trained neural network perfectly fits noisy training data but still achieves near-optimal test performance, has been extensively studied in recent years for linear models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Roey Magen , Shuning Shang , Zhiwei Xu , Spencer Frei , Wei Hu , Gal Vardi

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

Real-world datasets are often biased with respect to key demographic factors such as race and gender. Due to the latent nature of the underlying factors, detecting and mitigating bias is especially challenging for unsupervised machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Kristy Choi , Aditya Grover , Trisha Singh , Rui Shu , Stefano Ermon

The double descent curve is one of the most intriguing properties of deep neural networks. It contrasts the classical bias-variance curve with the behavior of modern neural networks, occurring where the number of samples nears the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 John Chen , Qihan Wang , Anastasios Kyrillidis