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Predicting the output of a dynamical system from streaming data is fundamental to real-time feedback control and decision-making. We first derive an autoregressive representation that relates future local outputs to asynchronous past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

We study the problem of online learning in contextual bandit problems where the loss function is assumed to belong to a known parametric function class. We propose a new analytic framework for this setting that bridges the Bayesian theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Gergely Neu , Matteo Papini , Ludovic Schwartz

In many fields of study, we only observe lower bounds on the true response value of some experiments. When fitting a regression model to predict the distribution of the outcomes, we cannot simply drop these right-censored observations, but…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Katharina Eggensperger , Kai Haase , Philipp Müller , Marius Lindauer , Frank Hutter

We study multi-product inventory control problems where a manager makes sequential replenishment decisions based on partial historical information in order to minimize its cumulative losses. Our motivation is to consider general demands,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Massil Hihat , Stéphane Gaïffas , Guillaume Garrigos , Simon Bussy

The rise of large-scale pretrained models has made it feasible to generate predictive or synthetic features at low cost, raising the question of how to incorporate such surrogate predictions into downstream decision-making. We study this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Hao Yan , Heyan Zhang , Yongyi Guo

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

We present an extensive study of the key problem of online learning where algorithms are allowed to abstain from making predictions. In the adversarial setting, we show how existing online algorithms and guarantees can be adapted to this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Corinna Cortes , Giulia DeSalvo , Claudio Gentile , Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

This paper proposes a framework for multi-robot systems to perform simultaneous learning and coverage of a domain of interest characterized by an unknown and potentially time-varying density function. To overcome the limitations of Gaussian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruijie Du , Ruoyu Lin , Yanning Shen , Magnus Egerstedt

We consider a stochastic inventory control problem under censored demands, lost sales, and positive lead times. This is a fundamental problem in inventory management, with significant literature establishing near-optimality of a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Shipra Agrawal , Randy Jia

This work focuses on the setting of dynamic regret in the context of online learning with full information. In particular, we analyze regret bounds with respect to the temporal variability of the loss functions. By assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Nicolò Campolongo , Francesco Orabona

We develop a new framework for designing online policies given access to an oracle providing statistical information about an offline benchmark. Having access to such prediction oracles enables simple and natural Bayesian selection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Alberto Vera , Siddhartha Banerjee

Access to a large variety of data across a massive population has made it possible to predict customer purchase patterns and responses to marketing campaigns. In particular, accurate demand forecasts for popular products with frequent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-01 Tianle Chen , Brian Keng , Javier Moreno

Learning a sequence of tasks without access to i.i.d. observations is a widely studied form of continual learning (CL) that remains challenging. In principle, Bayesian learning directly applies to this setting, since recursive and one-off…

In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) promises fast adaptation to unseen environments without parameter updates, but current methods either cannot improve beyond the training distribution or require near-optimal data, limiting practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Anaïs Berkes , Vincent Taboga , Donna Vakalis , David Rolnick , Yoshua Bengio

Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rebecca Farina , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Adaptive experimentation under unknown network interference requires solving two coupled problems: (i) learning the underlying dynamics of interference among units and (ii) using these dynamics to inform treatment allocation in order to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Aidan Gleich , Eric Laber , Alexander Volfovsky

Many economic applications including optimal pricing and inventory management requires prediction of demand based on sales data and estimation of sales reaction to a price change. There is a wide range of econometric approaches which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Evgeniy M. Ozhegov , Daria Teterina

Many deployed systems expose black-box objectives whose minimizing configuration shifts with an externally observed context. When contexts revisit a small set of latent regimes, an optimizer that discards history pays repeated adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Enze Pan

Continual learning, the setting where a learning agent is faced with a never ending stream of data, continues to be a great challenge for modern machine learning systems. In particular the online or "single-pass through the data" setting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Rahaf Aljundi , Lucas Caccia , Eugene Belilovsky , Massimo Caccia , Min Lin , Laurent Charlin , Tinne Tuytelaars

Bandits with feedback graphs are powerful online learning models that interpolate between the full information and classic bandit problems, capturing many real-life applications. A recent work by Zhang et al. (2023) studies the contextual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Mengxiao Zhang , Yuheng Zhang , Haipeng Luo , Paul Mineiro