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Infinite-order U-statistics (IOUS) has been used extensively on subbagging ensemble learning algorithms such as random forests to quantify its uncertainty. While normality results of IOUS have been studied extensively, its variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-16 Tianning Xu , Ruoqing Zhu , Xiaofeng Shao

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm has been widely used in statistical estimation for large-scale data due to its computational and memory efficiency. While most existing works focus on the convergence of the objective function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Xi Chen , Jason D. Lee , Xin T. Tong , Yichen Zhang

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

In this paper, we derive higher order Edgeworth expansions for the finite sample distributions of the subsampling-based t-statistic and the Wald statistic in the Gaussian location model under the so-called fixed-smoothing paradigm. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-11 Xianyang Zhang , Xiaofeng Shao

We obtain non-asymptotic Gaussian concentration bounds for the difference between the invariant measure $\nu$ of an ergodic Brownian diffusion process and the empirical distribution of an approximating scheme with decreasing time step along…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Igor Honoré , Stephane Menozzi , Gilles Pagès

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a foundational algorithm for large-scale statistical learning and stochastic optimization. However, statistical inference based on SGD iterates remains challenging when stochastic gradients have infinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Wenhao Yang

Constant-stepsize stochastic approximation (SA) is widely used in learning for computational efficiency. For a fixed stepsize, the iterates typically admit a stationary distribution that is rarely tractable. Prior work shows that as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Zedong Wang , Yuyang Wang , Ijay Narang , Felix Wang , Yuzhou Wang , Siva Theja Maguluri

This paper presents a simple yet efficient method for statistical inference of tensor linear forms using incomplete and noisy observations. Under the Tucker low-rank tensor model and the missing-at-random assumption, we utilize an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia

We derive new and improved non-asymptotic deviation inequalities for the sample average approximation (SAA) of an optimization problem. Our results give strong error probability bounds that are "sub-Gaussian"~even when the randomness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

We consider sequences of $U$-processes based on symmetric kernels of a fixed order, that possibly depend on the sample size. Our main contribution is the derivation of a set of analytic sufficient conditions, under which the aforementioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Christian Döbler , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Giovanni Peccati

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

The problem of stopping stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in an online manner, based solely on the observed trajectory, is a challenging theoretical problem with significant consequences for applications. While SGD is routinely monitored as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan

This paper proposes a thorough theoretical analysis of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) with non-increasing step sizes. First, we show that the recursion defining SGD can be provably approximated by solutions of a time inhomogeneous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Xavier Fontaine , Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

We give two asymptotic results for the empirical distance covariance on separable metric spaces without any iid assumption on the samples. In particular, we show the almost sure convergence of the empirical distance covariance for any…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Marius Kroll

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod (2008) are generalized to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Vetter

Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

Gaussian universality results assert that the properties of many estimators remain unchanged when the input data are replaced by Gaussians. Such results have gained popularity in high-dimensional statistics and machine learning, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Kevin Han Huang , Morgane Austern , Peter Orbanz