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Time-series forecasting increasingly demands not only accurate observational predictions but also causal forecasting under interventional and counterfactual queries in multivariate systems. We present DoFlow, a flow-based generative model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Dongze Wu , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Generative modeling, which learns joint probability distribution from data and generates samples according to it, is an important task in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Inspired by probabilistic interpretation of quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-20 Zhao-Yu Han , Jun Wang , Heng Fan , Lei Wang , Pan Zhang

Time series modeling has entered an era of unprecedented growth in the size and complexity of data which require new modeling approaches. While many new general purpose machine learning approaches have emerged, they remain poorly understand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-02 Matthew F Dixon

Generating synthetic financial time series data that accurately reflects real-world market dynamics holds tremendous potential for various applications, including portfolio optimization, risk management, and large scale machine learning. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-05 Chung I Lu , Julian Sester

In order to model the evolution of user preference, we should learn user/item embeddings based on time-ordered item purchasing sequences, which is defined as Sequential Recommendation (SR) problem. Existing methods leverage sequential…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Ziwei Fan , Zhiwei Liu , Jiawei Zhang , Yun Xiong , Lei Zheng , Philip S. Yu

A recent study in turbulent flow simulation demonstrated the potential of generative diffusion models for fast 3D surrogate modeling. This approach eliminates the need for specifying initial states or performing lengthy simulations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-30 Abdullah Saydemir , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Due to the non-stationarity of time series, the distribution shift problem largely hinders the performance of time series forecasting. Existing solutions either rely on using certain statistics to specify the shift, or developing specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Pengyang Wang , Rui Xie , Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Jiang Bian , Yanjie Fu

Time-to-event analysis, also known as survival analysis, aims to predict the time of occurrence of an event, given a set of features. One of the major challenges in this area is dealing with censored data, which can make learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Hyunjun Lee , Junhyun Lee , Taehwa Choi , Jaewoo Kang , Sangbum Choi

Supervised learning classifiers inevitably make mistakes in production, perhaps mis-labeling an email, or flagging an otherwise routine transaction as fraudulent. It is vital that the end users of such a system are provided with a means of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Joshua Lockhart , Samuel Assefa , Ayham Alajdad , Andrew Alexander , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

In this work, we propose the Generative Latent Flow (GLF), an algorithm for generative modeling of the data distribution. GLF uses an Auto-encoder (AE) to learn latent representations of the data, and a normalizing flow to map the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Zhisheng Xiao , Qing Yan , Yali Amit

Generating high-quality synthetic time series is a fundamental yet challenging task across domains such as forecasting and anomaly detection, where real data can be scarce, noisy, or costly to collect. Unlike static data generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

Long-range time series forecasting is usually based on one of two existing forecasting strategies: Direct Forecasting and Iterative Forecasting, where the former provides low bias, high variance forecasts and the latter leads to low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Shiyu Liu , Rohan Ghosh , Mehul Motani

In this paper, we study the problem of inferring time-varying Markov random fields (MRF), where the underlying graphical model is both sparse and changes sparsely over time. Most of the existing methods for the inference of time-varying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Salar Fattahi , Andres Gomez

Despite the recent success of neural networks in image feature learning, a major problem in the video domain is the lack of sufficient labeled data for learning to model temporal information. In this paper, we propose an unsupervised…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Linchao Zhu , Zhongwen Xu , Yi Yang

Modeling a precipitation field is challenging due to its intermittent and highly scale-dependent nature. Motivated by the features of high-frequency precipitation data from a network of rain gauges, we propose a threshold space-time $t$…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-10 Ying Sun , Michael L. Stein

As a highly expressive generative model, diffusion models have demonstrated exceptional success across various domains, including image generation, natural language processing, and combinatorial optimization. However, as data distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Myunsoo Kim , Donghyeon Ki , Seong-Woong Shim , Byung-Jun Lee

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Event camera has offered promising alternative for visual perception, especially in high speed and high dynamic range scenes. Recently, many deep learning methods have shown great success in providing promising solutions to many event-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Ziluo Ding , Rui Zhao , Jiyuan Zhang , Tianxiao Gao , Ruiqin Xiong , Zhaofei Yu , Tiejun Huang

Self-supervised learning has garnered increasing attention in time series analysis for benefiting various downstream tasks and reducing reliance on labeled data. Despite its effectiveness, existing methods often struggle to comprehensively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Daoyu Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Extreme weather events epitomize high cost: to society through their physical impacts, and to computer servers that simulate them to assess risk and advance physical understanding. It costs hundreds of simulation years to sample a few…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman