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Deep models for Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting have recently demonstrated significant success. Channel-dependent models capture complex dependencies that channel-independent models cannot capture. However, the number of channels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Wray Buntine , Shilin Qu , Abishek Sriramulu , Weicong Tan , Christoph Bergmeir

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

In multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting, many deep learning based methods have been proposed for modeling dependencies at multiple spatial (inter-variate) or temporal (intra-variate) scales. However, existing methods may fail to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Binqing Wu , Jianlong Huang , Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Recently, Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have become increasingly popular MTS forecasting methods. STGNNs jointly model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Zezhi Shao , Zhao Zhang , Fei Wang , Yongjun Xu

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

Time series forecasting based on deep architectures has been gaining popularity in recent years due to their ability to model complex non-linear temporal dynamics. The recurrent neural network is one such model capable of handling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Large Language Models (LLMs) trained for average correctness often exhibit mode collapse, producing narrow decision behaviors on tasks where multiple responses may be reasonable. This limitation is particularly problematic in ordinal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Eric Yang , Jong Ha Lee , Jonathan Amar , Elissa Ye , Yugang Jia

This paper addresses the problem of multi-step time series forecasting for non-stationary signals that can present sudden changes. Current state-of-the-art deep learning forecasting methods, often trained with variants of the MSE, lack the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-18 Vincent Le Guen , Nicolas Thome

Time series forecasters are widely used across various domains. Among them, MLP (multi-layer perceptron)-based forecasters have been proven to be more robust to noise compared to Transformer-based forecasters. However, MLP struggles to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Xiang Ao

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Recently, Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have become increasingly popular MTS forecasting methods due to their state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zezhi Shao , Zhao Zhang , Fei Wang , Wei Wei , Yongjun Xu

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In large-scale LLM pre-training systems with 100k+ GPUs, failures become the norm rather than the exception, and restart costs can dominate wall-clock training time. However, existing fault-tolerance mechanisms are largely unprepared for…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jin Lee , Zhonghao Chen , Xuhang He , Robert Underwood , Bogdan Nicolae , Franck Cappello , Xiaoyi Lu , Sheng Di , Zheng Zhang

Multi-stage ML inference pipelines are difficult to autoscale due to heterogeneous resources, cross-stage coupling, and dynamic bottleneck migration. We present SAIR, an autoscaling framework that uses an LLM as an in-context reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Jianchang Su , Yifan Zhang , Shengkai Lin , Shizhen Zhao , Yusheng Zheng , Yiwei Yang , Wei Zhang

Multi-variate time series forecasting is an important problem with a wide range of applications. Recent works model the relations between time-series as graphs and have shown that propagating information over the relation graph can improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodriguez , Chao Zhang , B Aditya Prakash

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for real-world applications such as traffic management and urban computing. Although recent methods have shown improved accuracy, they often fail to account for dynamic deviations between current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Haotian Gao , Zheng Dong , Jiawei Yong , Shintaro Fukushima , Kenjiro Taura , Renhe Jiang

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

Foundational Models are an emerging widely used technique of GenAI. These models are distinguished by their scalability and the ease with which they can be adapted through the exploitation of Transfer Learning. The availability of high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 M. Germán-Morales , A. J. Rivera-Rivas , M. J. del Jesus Díaz , C. J. Carmona

Recent work has shown the efficiency of deep learning models such as Fully Convolutional Networks (FCN) or Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) to deal with Time Series Regression (TSR) problems. These models sometimes need a lot of data to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Sebastian Pineda Arango , Felix Heinrich , Kiran Madhusudhanan , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

This paper presents $\mathbf{OLinear}$, a $\mathbf{linear}$-based multivariate time series forecasting model that operates in an $\mathbf{o}$rthogonally transformed domain. Recent forecasting models typically adopt the temporal forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Wenzhen Yue , Yong Liu , Haoxuan Li , Hao Wang , Xianghua Ying , Ruohao Guo , Bowei Xing , Ji Shi