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In this paper we develop a continuous-time sequential importance sampling (CIS) algorithm which eliminates time-discretisation errors and provides online unbiased estimation for continuous time Markov processes, in particular for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-19 Paul Fearnhead , Krzystof Latuszynski , Gareth O. Roberts , Giorgos Sermaidis

In this paper, we consider the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process in the regime where the process does not hit zero. We construct additive and multiplicative discrete approximation schemes for the price of asset that is modeled by the CIR…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Yuliia Mishura , Yevheniia Munchak

We prove that there exists a diffusion process whose invariant measure is the three dimensional polymer measure $\nu_\lambda$ for all $\lambda>0$. We follow in part a previous incomplete unpublished work of the first named author with M.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Sergio Albeverio , Seiichiro Kusuoka , Song Liang , Makoto Nakashima

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

Due to the importance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process in different areas of finance, a broad spectrum of studies and investigations on this model have been carried out. In case of ambiguity, we characterize it by applying the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-14 Bahar Akhtari , Hanwu Li

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Ruzmaikina , Michael Aizenman

We address high dimensional covariance estimation for elliptical distributed samples, which are also known as spherically invariant random vectors (SIRV) or compound-Gaussian processes. Specifically we consider shrinkage methods that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-20 Yilun Chen , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

This paper presents a control variate-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for efficient sampling from the probability simplex, with a focus on applications in large-scale Bayesian models such as latent Dirichlet allocation. Standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Francesco Barile , Christopher Nemeth

This paper studies two related stochastic processes driven by Brownian motion: the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and the Bessel process. We investigate their shared and distinct properties, focusing on time-asymptotic growth rates,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Svitlana Kushnirenko

For multiple index models, it has recently been shown that the sliced inverse regression (SIR) is consistent for estimating the sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) space if and only if $\rho=\lim\frac{p}{n}=0$, where $p$ is the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Qian Lin , Zhigen Zhao , Jun S. Liu

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

We consider a class of large-scale interacting systems with one conservation law satisfying the ``degree-preserving property'', and study the classification of their invariant measures and their hydrodynamic limits. Under a few basic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Chiara Franceschini , Patrícia Gonçalves , Kohei Hayashi , Makiko Sasada

We study the estimation of a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, which is a special subcritical continuous-state branching process with immigration. The process is characterized in terms of some stochastic equations. The exponential ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Zenghu Li , Chunhua Ma

Doubly intractable models are encountered in a number of fields, e.g. social networks, ecology and epidemiology. Inference for such models requires the evaluation of a likelihood function, whose normalising factor depends on the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Yu Yang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

A finite difference numerical scheme is proposed and analyzed for the Cahn-Hilliard-Stokes system with Flory-Huggins energy functional. A convex splitting is applied to the chemical potential, which in turns leads to the implicit treatment…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Yunzhuo Guo , Cheng Wang , Steven M. Wise , Zhengru Zhang

We study regularity properties for invariant measures of semilinear diffusions in a separable Hilbert space. Based on a pathwise estimate for the underlying stochastic convolution, we prove a priori estimates on such invariant measures. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Abdelhadi Es-Sarhir , Wilhelm Stannat

Consider generalized adapted stochastic integrals with respect to independently scattered random measures with second moments. We use a decoupling technique, known as the "principle of conditioning", to study their stable convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Peccati , Murad S. Taqqu

We study a one-dimensional exclusion process with a fixed jump length $I \ge 1$ in which a particle may advance or retreat $I$ sites provided all intermediate sites are vacant, with hopping rates of Arrhenius type depending on the local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-03 Lam Thi Nhung , Ngo Phuoc Nguyen Ngoc , Huynh Anh Thi

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) has become a popular method for scalable Bayesian inference. These methods are based on sampling a discrete-time approximation to a continuous time process, such as the Langevin…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-29 Jack Baker , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B Fox , Christopher Nemeth

The paper deals with the stochastic two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equation for incompressible fluids, set in a bounded domain with Dirichlet boundary conditions. We consider additive noise in the form $G\, dW$, where $W$ is a cylindrical…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Matteo Ferrari
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