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This paper explores bias in the estimation of sampling variance in Respondent Driven Sampling (RDS). Prior methodological work on RDS has focused on its problematic assumptions and the biases and inefficiencies of its estimators of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-07 Ashton M. Verdery , Ted Mouw , Shawn Bauldry , Peter J. Mucha

This paper emphasizes the importance of including the unbalance in the distribution networks for stability studies in power systems. The paper aims to: discuss the various simulation methods for power system analysis; highlight the need for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Alok Kumar Bharati , Venkataramana Ajjarapu

There are strong incentives to build models that demonstrate outstanding predictive performance on various datasets and benchmarks. We believe these incentives risk a narrow focus on models and on the performance metrics used to evaluate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 David Lovell , Dimity Miller , Jaiden Capra , Andrew Bradley

Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts. We analyze the use of pseudo-calibration as a tool to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Farbod Siahkali , Ashwin Verma , Vijay Gupta

Semi-supervised (SS) inference has received much attention in recent years. Apart from a moderate-sized labeled data, L, the SS setting is characterized by an additional, much larger sized, unlabeled data, U. The setting of |U| >> |L|,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Yuqian Zhang , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Jelena Bradic

The estimation of uncertainties associated with predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models can accelerate the drug discovery process by identifying promising experiments and allowing an efficient allocation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Emma Svensson , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the propagation of the statistical noise in calibrating input models to impact output accuracy, in addition to the Monte Carlo simulation noise. The vast majority of the input…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Motong Chen , Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

This paper studies the properties of linear regression on centrality measures when network data is sparse and observed with error. We make three contributions in this setting. First, we show that OLS estimators can become inconsistent under…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Yong Cai

Reliability estimation of Machine Learning (ML) models is becoming a crucial subject. This is particularly the case when such \mbox{models} are deployed in safety-critical applications, as the decisions based on model predictions can result…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Mohammed Naveed Akram , Akshatha Ambekar , Ioannis Sorokos , Koorosh Aslansefat , Daniel Schneider

Social and economic studies are often implemented as complex survey designs. For example, multistage, unequal probability sampling designs utilized by federal statistical agencies are typically constructed to maximize the efficiency of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-09 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Unmeasured confounding, selection bias, and measurement error are well-known sources of bias in epidemiologic research. Methods for assessing these biases have their own limitations. Many quantitative sensitivity analysis approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-11 Louisa H. Smith , Maya B. Mathur , Tyler J. VanderWeele

This paper proposes a novel framework for the distributionally robust input and state estimation (DRISE) for autonomous vehicles operating under model uncertainties and measurement outliers. The proposed framework improves the input and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Kasra Azizi , Kumar Anurag , Wenbin Wan

This paper presents an adaptive Distribution System State Estimation (DSSE) which relies on a Cloud-based IoT paradigm. The methodology is adaptive in terms of the rate of execution of the estimation process which varies depending on the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Paolo Attilio Pegoraro , Alessio Meloni , Luigi Atzori , Paolo Castello , Sara Sulis

Weighting methods are essential tools for estimating causal effects in observational studies, with the goal of balancing pre-treatment covariates across treatment groups. Traditional approaches pursue this objective indirectly, for example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Diptanil Santra , Guanhua Chen , Chan Park

Data driven soft sensor design has recently gained immense popularity, due to advances in sensory devices, and a growing interest in data mining. While partial least squares (PLS) is traditionally used in the process literature for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-25 Aysun Urhan , Burak Alakent

Many engineering systems are subject to spatially distributed uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty that can be modeled as a random field. Altering the mean or covariance of this uncertainty will in general change the statistical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-09 Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

In this paper, we demonstrate the fragility of decentralized load-side frequency algorithms proposed in [1] against stochastic parametric uncertainty in power network model. The stochastic parametric uncertainty is motivated through the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Sai Pushpak , Umesh Vaidya

The density ratio model (DRM) is a semiparametric model that relates the distributions from multiple samples to a nonparametrically defined reference distribution via exponential tilting, with finite-dimensional parameters governing their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 James Hugh McVittie , Archer Gong Zhang

The paper investigates the weighted sum-rate maximization (WSRM) problem with latent interfering sources outside the known network, whose power allocation policy is hidden from and uncontrollable to optimization. The paper extends the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Lei You