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This paper proposes a new test for a change point in the mean of high-dimensional data based on the spatial sign and self-normalization. The test is easy to implement with no tuning parameters, robust to heavy-tailedness and theoretically…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Feiyu Jiang , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

In a sequence of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data objects, such as networks, local dependence is common and could lead to false change-point discoveries. We propose a new way of permutation -- circular block permutation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Hao Chen

Multi-arm bandit experimental designs are increasingly being adopted over standard randomized trials due to their potential to improve outcomes for study participants, enable faster identification of the best-performing options, and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Brian M Cho , Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus

Visual instruction datasets from various distributors are released at different times and often contain a significant number of semantically redundant text-image pairs, depending on their task compositions (i.e., skills) or reference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Adyasha Maharana , Jaehong Yoon , Tianlong Chen , Mohit Bansal

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) is a class of online learning problems where a learning agent aims to maximize its expected cumulative reward while repeatedly selecting to pull arms with unknown reward distributions. We consider a scenario where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-25 Yang Cao , Zheng Wen , Branislav Kveton , Yao Xie

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

In the classical multi-armed bandit problem, instance-dependent algorithms attain improved performance on "easy" problems with a gap between the best and second-best arm. Are similar guarantees possible for contextual bandits? While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , David Simchi-Levi , Yunzong Xu

Data that is gathered adaptively --- via bandit algorithms, for example --- exhibits bias. This is true both when gathering simple numeric valued data --- the empirical means kept track of by stochastic bandit algorithms are biased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Seth Neel , Aaron Roth

In high-dimensional time series, the component processes are often assembled into a matrix to display their interrelationship. We focus on detecting mean shifts with unknown change point locations in these matrix time series. Series that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

Consider a nonparametric contextual multi-arm bandit problem where each arm $a \in [K]$ is associated to a nonparametric reward function $f_a: [0,1] \to \mathbb{R}$ mapping from contexts to the expected reward. Suppose that there is a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Nirandika Wanigasekara , Christina Lee Yu

A new approach to detect change points based on differential smoothing and multiple testing is presented for long data sequences modeled as piecewise constant functions plus stationary ergodic Gaussian noise. As an application of the STEM…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Dan Cheng , Zhibing He , Armin Schwartzman

Branch-specific substitution models are popular for detecting evolutionary change-points, such as shifts in selective pressure. However, applying such models typically requires prior knowledge of change-point locations on the phylogeny or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-06 Xiang Ji , Benjamin Redelings , Shuo Su , Hongcun Bao , Wu-Min Deng , Samuel L. Hong , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

We propose an original and general NOn-SEgmental (NOSE) approach for the detection of multiple change-points. NOSE identifies change-points by the non-negligibility of posterior estimates of the jump heights. Alternatively, under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Xu Zhang , Catherine C. Liu

We study the use of spike and slab priors for consistent estimation of the number of change points and their locations. Leveraging recent results in the variable selection literature, we show that an estimator based on spike and slab priors…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-22 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Julia A. Palacios

We consider the problem of contextual bandits and imitation learning, where the learner lacks direct knowledge of the executed action's reward. Instead, the learner can actively query an expert at each round to compare two actions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Ayush Sekhari , Karthik Sridharan , Wen Sun , Runzhe Wu

Stationary points or derivative zero crossings of a regression function correspond to points where a trend reverses, making their estimation scientifically important. Existing approaches to uncertainty quantification for stationary points…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Michael Price , Debdeep Pati , Ning Ning

This paper addresses a fundamental but largely unexplored challenge in sequential changepoint analysis: conducting inference following a detected change. We develop a very general framework to construct confidence sets for the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

Modern multiscale type segmentation methods are known to detect multiple change-points with high statistical accuracy, while allowing for fast computation. Underpinning theory has been developed mainly for models that assume the signal as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Housen Li , Qinghai Guo , Axel Munk

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

In panel data we observe a usually high number N of individuals over a time period T. Even if T is large one often assumes stability of the model over time. We propose a nonparametric and robust test for a change in location and derive its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried
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