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We study nonparametric contextual bandits where Lipschitz mean reward functions may change over time. We first establish the minimax dynamic regret rate in this less understood setting in terms of number of changes $L$ and total-variation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-21 Joe Suk , Samory Kpotufe

We study the problem of multiclass PAC learning with bandit feedback in the realizable setting. In this framework, there is an unknown data distribution over an instance space $\mathcal{X}$ and a label space $\mathcal{Y}$, as in classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Steve Hanneke , Qinglin Meng , Shay Moran , Amirreza Shaeiri

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Guido Imbens , Lorenzo Masoero , Alexander Rakhlin , Thomas S. Richardson , Suhas Vijaykumar

A contextual bandit problem is studied in a highly non-stationary environment, which is ubiquitous in various recommender systems due to the time-varying interests of users. Two models with disjoint and hybrid payoffs are considered to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Xiao Xu , Fang Dong , Yanghua Li , Shaojian He , Xin Li

High-dimensional changepoint inference that adapts to various change patterns has received much attention recently. We propose a simple, fast yet effective approach for adaptive changepoint testing. The key observation is that two…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Guanghui Wang , Long Feng

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

We consider the problem of best arm identification in the multi-armed bandit model, under fixed confidence. Given a confidence input $\delta$, the goal is to identify the arm with the highest mean reward with a probability of at least 1 --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-21 El Mehdi Saad , Gilles Blanchard , Nicolas Verzelen

This paper considers the constrained sampling multi-stream quickest change detection problem, also known as the bandit quickest change detection problem. One stream contains a change-point that shifts its mean by an unknown amount. The goal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Joshua Kartzman , Calvin Hawkins , Matthew Hale

The multi-armed bandit problem has been extensively studied under the stationary assumption. However in reality, this assumption often does not hold because the distributions of rewards themselves may change over time. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Fang Liu , Joohyun Lee , Ness Shroff

We establish the convergence rates and asymptotic distributions of the common break change-point estimators, obtained by least squares and maximum likelihood in panel data models and compare their asymptotic variances. Our model assumptions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

Constructing confidence intervals that are simultaneously valid across a class of estimates is central to tasks such as multiple mean estimation, generalization guarantees, and adaptive experimental design. We frame this as an ``error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Anna Lyubarskaja , Emma Brunskill , Susan Athey

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Many stochastic optimization algorithms work by estimating the gradient of the cost function on the fly by sampling datapoints uniformly at random from a training set. However, the estimator might have a large variance, which inadvertently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-10 Farnood Salehi , L. Elisa Celis , Patrick Thiran

We study batched bandit experiments and consider the problem of inference conditional on the realized stopping time, assignment probabilities, and target parameter, where all of these may be chosen adaptively using information up to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jiafeng Chen , Isaiah Andrews

Learning in multi-player games can model a large variety of practical scenarios, where each player seeks to optimize its own local objective function, which at the same time relies on the actions taken by others. Motivated by the frequent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Yuanhanqing Huang , Jianghai Hu

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan