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We investigate the asymptotic risk of a general class of overparameterized likelihood models, including deep models. The recent empirical success of large-scale models has motivated several theoretical studies to investigate a scenario…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Ryumei Nakada , Masaaki Imaizumi

We study high-dimensional two-sample mean comparison and address the curse of dimensionality through data-adaptive projections. Leveraging the low-dimensional and localized signal structures commonly seen in single-cell genomics data, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Tianyu Zhang , Jing Lei , Kathryn Roeder

Common high-dimensional methods for prediction rely on having either a sparse signal model, a model in which most parameters are zero and there are a small number of non-zero parameters that are large in magnitude, or a dense signal model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao

Recent empirical and theoretical studies have shown that many learning algorithms -- from linear regression to neural networks -- can have test performance that is non-monotonic in quantities such the sample size and model size. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Preetum Nakkiran , Prayaag Venkat , Sham Kakade , Tengyu Ma

Sampling-based optimization (SBO), like cross-entropy method and evolutionary algorithms, has achieved many successes in solving non-convex problems without gradients, yet its convergence is poorly understood. In this paper, we establish a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zeji Yi , Chaoyi Pan , Guanya Shi , Guannan Qu

Most modern supervised statistical/machine learning (ML) methods are explicitly designed to solve prediction problems very well. Achieving this goal does not imply that these methods automatically deliver good estimators of causal…

Estimating probabilistic deformable template models is a new approach in the fields of computer vision and probabilistic atlases in computational anatomy. A first coherent statistical framework modelling the variability as a hidden random…

Computation · Statistics 2009-01-16 Stéphanie Allassonnière , Estelle Kuhn

In this paper, we apply shrinkage strategies to estimate regression coefficients efficiently for the high-dimensional multiple regression model, where the number of samples is smaller than the number of predictors. We assume in the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-19 B. Yuzbasi , M. Arashi , S. E. Ahmed

Inferring causal relationships or related associations from observational data can be invalidated by the existence of hidden confounding. We focus on a high-dimensional linear regression setting, where the measured covariates are affected…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-22 Zijian Guo , Domagoj Ćevid , Peter Bühlmann

We introduce a new approach to prediction in graphical models with latent-shift adaptation, i.e., where source and target environments differ in the distribution of an unobserved confounding latent variable. Previous work has shown that as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 William I. Walker , Arthur Gretton , Maneesh Sahani

Discrete diffusion models have recently gained significant prominence in applications involving natural language and graph data. A key factor influencing their effectiveness is the efficiency of discretized samplers. Among these,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Yuchen Liang , Yingbin Liang , Lifeng Lai , Ness Shroff

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

Individual events at high-energy colliders like the LHC can be represented by a sequence of measurements, or 'point patterns' in an observable space. Starting from this data representation, we build a simple Bayesian probabilistic model for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-12-17 Darius A. Faroughy

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

To date, we have seen the emergence of a large literature on multivariate disease mapping. That is, incidence of (or mortality from) multiple diseases is recorded at the scale of areal units where incidence (mortality) across the diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Garazi Retegui , María Dolores Ugarte , Jaione Etxeberria , Alan E. Gelfand

To fast approximate maximum likelihood estimators with massive data, this paper studies the Optimal Subsampling Method under the A-optimality Criterion (OSMAC) for generalized linear models. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Mingyao Ai , Jun Yu , Huiming Zhang , HaiYing Wang

Epoch-wise double descent is the phenomenon where generalisation performance improves beyond the point of overfitting, resulting in a generalisation curve exhibiting two descents under the course of learning. Understanding the mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Amanda Olmin , Fredrik Lindsten

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu

We consider a linear model which can have a large number of explanatory variables, the errors with an asymmetric distribution or some values of the explained variable are missing at random. In order to take in account these several…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-15 Gabriela Ciuperca

Longitudinal Dispersion(LD) is the dominant process of scalar transport in natural streams. An accurate prediction on LD coefficient(Dl) can produce a performance leap in related simulation. The emerging machine learning(ML) techniques…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-07-28 Yifeng Zhao , Pei Zhang , S. A. Galindo-Torres , Stan Z. Li