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We propose a new heavy-tailed distribution --- Gaussian-Chain (GC) distribution, which is inspirited by the hierarchical structures prevailing in social organizations. We determine the mean, variance and kurtosis of the Gaussian-Chain…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-12 Li-Xin Wang

Learning the tail behavior of a distribution is a notoriously difficult problem. By definition, the number of samples from the tail is small, and deep generative models, such as normalizing flows, tend to concentrate on learning the body of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Mike Laszkiewicz , Johannes Lederer , Asja Fischer

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a fundamental iterative framework with broad applications in reinforcement learning and optimization. Classical analyses typically rely on martingale difference or Markov noise with bounded second moments,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Siddharth Chandak , Anuj Yadav , Ayfer Ozgur , Nicholas Bambos

We propose robust sparse reduced rank regression for analyzing large and complex high-dimensional data with heavy-tailed random noise. The proposed method is based on a convex relaxation of a rank- and sparsity-constrained non-convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-16 Kean Ming Tan , Qiang Sun , Daniela Witten

We analyze neural scaling laws in a solvable model of last-layer fine-tuning where targets have intrinsic, instance-heterogeneous difficulty. In our Latent Instance Difficulty (LID) model, each input's target variance is governed by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Noam Levi

Benchmark datasets for visual recognition assume that data is uniformly distributed, while real-world datasets obey long-tailed distribution. Current approaches handle the long-tailed problem to transform the long-tailed dataset to uniform…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Renhui Zhang , Tiancheng Lin , Rui Zhang , Yi Xu

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

The advancements in generative modeling, particularly the advent of diffusion models, have sparked a fundamental question: how can these models be effectively used for discriminative tasks? In this work, we find that generative models can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Mihir Prabhudesai , Tsung-Wei Ke , Alexander C. Li , Deepak Pathak , Katerina Fragkiadaki

Noisy labels, which are common in real-world datasets, can significantly impair the training of deep learning models. However, recent adversarial noise-combating methods overlook the long-tailed distribution of real data, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Mengting Li , Chuang Zhu

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

We investigate a problem estimating coefficients of linear regression under sparsity assumption when covariates and noises are sampled from heavy tailed distributions. Additionally, we consider the situation where not only covariates and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

Temperature scaling is a popular technique for tuning the sharpness of a model distribution. It is used extensively for sampling likely generations and calibrating model uncertainty, and even features as a controllable parameter to many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Andy Shih , Dorsa Sadigh , Stefano Ermon

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

We tackle the problem of sampling from intractable high-dimensional density functions, a fundamental task that often appears in machine learning and statistics. We extend recent sampling-based approaches that leverage controlled stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Dinghuai Zhang , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Cheng-Hao Liu , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

Diffusion-based generative models demonstrate state-of-the-art performance across various image synthesis tasks, yet their tendency to replicate and amplify dataset biases remains poorly understood. Although previous research has viewed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Nathan Roos , Ekaterina Iakovleva , Ani Gjergji , Vito Paolo Pastore , Enzo Tartaglione

Large language models (LLMs) have shown the capability to generate fluent and logical content, presenting significant challenges to machine-generated text detection, particularly text polished by adversarial perturbations such as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Alva West , Luodan Zhang , Liuliu Zhang , Minjun Zhu , Yixuan Weng , Yue Zhang

Long-tailed class imbalance remains a fundamental obstacle in semantic segmentation of high-resolution remote-sensing imagery, where dominant classes shape learned representations and rare classes are systematically under-segmented. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Buddhi Wijenayake , Nichula Wasalathilake , Roshan Godaliyadda , Vijitha Herath , Parakrama Ekanayake , Vishal M. Patel

Recovering a unique causal graph from observational data is an ill-posed problem because multiple generating mechanisms can lead to the same observational distribution. This problem becomes solvable only by exploiting specific structural or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Ameya Rathod , Sujay Belsare , Salvik Krishna Nautiyal , Dhruv Laad , Ponnurangam Kumaraguru

We develop an econometric framework integrating heavy-tailed Student's $t$ distributions with behavioral probability weighting while preserving infinite divisibility. Using 432{,}752 observations across 86 assets (2004--2024), we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Akash Deep , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

The long-tail distribution of the visual world poses great challenges for deep learning based classification models on how to handle the class imbalance problem. Existing solutions usually involve class-balancing strategies, e.g., by loss…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Bingyi Kang , Saining Xie , Marcus Rohrbach , Zhicheng Yan , Albert Gordo , Jiashi Feng , Yannis Kalantidis