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We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Viet Anh Nguyen

This paper investigates two optimal insurance contracting problems under distributional uncertainty from the perspective of a potential policyholder, utilizing a Bregman-Wasserstein (BW) ball to characterize the ambiguity set of loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Wenjun Jiang , Qingqing Zhang , Yiying Zhang

This work studies the design of safe control policies for large-scale non-linear systems operating in uncertain environments. In such a case, the robust control framework is a principled approach to safety that aims to maximize the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Edouard Leurent , Yann Blanco , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We consider the problem of look-ahead economic dispatch (LAED) with uncertain renewable energy generation. The goal of this problem is to minimize the cost of conventional energy generation subject to uncertain operational constraints. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Bala Kameshwar Poolla , Ashish R. Hota , Saverio Bolognani , Duncan S. Callaway , Ashish Cherukuri

The Wasserstein distance has emerged as a key metric to quantify distances between probability distributions, with applications in various fields, including machine learning, control theory, decision theory, and biological systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Luca Laurenti

Trustworthy machine learning aims at combating distributional uncertainties in training data distributions compared to population distributions. Typical treatment frameworks include the Bayesian approach, (min-max) distributionally robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang , Xinke Li , Jean Honorio

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for reliable decision-making under uncertainty. This paper focuses on DRO with ambiguity sets defined via the Sinkhorn discrepancy: an entropy-regularized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Jie Wang

We propose a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulation with a Wasserstein-based uncertainty set for selecting grouped variables under perturbations on the data for both linear regression and classification problems. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

Distributionally robust optimization tackles out-of-sample issues like overfitting and distribution shifts by adopting an adversarial approach over a range of possible data distributions, known as the ambiguity set. To balance conservatism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Ahmad-Reza Ehyaei , Golnoosh Farnadi , Samira Samadi

We study the infinite-horizon distributionally robust (DR) control of linear systems with quadratic costs, where disturbances have unknown, possibly time-correlated distribution within a Wasserstein-2 ambiguity set. We aim to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Taylan Kargin , Joudi Hajar , Vikrant Malik , Babak Hassibi

The integration of various power sources, including renewables and electric vehicles, into smart grids is expanding, introducing uncertainties that can result in issues like voltage imbalances, load fluctuations, and power losses. These…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Qi Li , Ye Shi , Yuning Jiang , Yuanming Shi , Haoyu Wang , H. Vincent Poor

Wasserstein distributionally robust estimators have emerged as powerful models for prediction and decision-making under uncertainty. These estimators provide attractive generalization guarantees: the robust objective obtained from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Waïss Azizian , Franck Iutzeler , Jérôme Malick

With the increasing penetration of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) and their impact on power system stability and operation, the concept of stability-constrained optimization has drawn significant attention from researchers. In order to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-23 Zhongda Chu , Fei Teng

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

Distribution forecast can quantify forecast uncertainty and provide various forecast scenarios with their corresponding estimated probabilities. Accurate distribution forecast is crucial for planning - for example when making production…

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to quantify safety for non-linear, discrete-time stochastic systems with unknown noise distribution. We define safety as the probability that the system remains in a given region of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Licio Romao , Simeon C. Calvert , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

An integration of distributionally robust risk allocation into sampling-based motion planning algorithms for robots operating in uncertain environments is proposed. We perform non-uniform risk allocation by decomposing the distributionally…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Kajsa Ekenberg , Venkatraman Renganathan , Björn Olofsson

Despite superior performance in many situations, deep neural networks are often vulnerable to adversarial examples and distribution shifts, limiting model generalization ability in real-world applications. To alleviate these problems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Hoang Phan , Trung Le , Trung Phung , Tuan Anh Bui , Nhat Ho , Dinh Phung

Safe corridor-based Trajectory Optimization (TO) presents an appealing approach for collision-free path planning of autonomous robots, offering global optimality through its convex formulation. The safe corridor is constructed based on the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Shaohang Xu , Haolin Ruan , Wentao Zhang , Yian Wang , Lijun Zhu , Chin Pang Ho