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We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

This paper proposes a unit commitment (UC) model based on data-driven Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) for power systems under uncertainty of renewable generation as well as its tractable exact reformulation. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-17 Youngchae Cho , Insoon Yang

This paper presents a novel methodology for tractably solving optimal control and offline reinforcement learning problems for high-dimensional systems. This work is motivated by the ongoing challenges of safety, computation, and optimality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Aaron Kandel , Saehong Park , Scott Moura

We introduce a new framework, Bayesian Distributionally Robust Optimization (Bayesian-DRO), for data-driven stochastic optimization where the underlying distribution is unknown. Bayesian-DRO contrasts with most of the existing DRO…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou , Yifan Lin

Graphs are playing a crucial role in different fields since they are powerful tools to unveil intrinsic relationships among signals. In many scenarios, an accurate graph structure representing signals is not available at all and that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Xiang Zhang , Yinfei Xu , Qinghe Liu , Zhicheng Liu , Jian Lu , Qiao Wang

Building on a recent framework for distributionally robust optimization, we consider estimation of the inverse covariance matrix for multivariate data. We provide a novel notion of a Wasserstein ambiguity set specifically tailored to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Pedro Cisneros-Velarde , Sang-Yun Oh , Alexander Petersen

Off-policy evaluation and learning are concerned with assessing a given policy and learning an optimal policy from offline data without direct interaction with the environment. Often, the environment in which the data are collected differs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Yi Shen , Pan Xu , Michael M. Zavlanos

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is an effective approach for data-driven decision-making in the presence of uncertainty. Geometric uncertainty due to sampling or localized perturbations of data points is captured by Wasserstein…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Sloan Nietert , Ziv Goldfeld , Soroosh Shafiee

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging since the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs about the model's parameters. However, minimising the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

Inspired by its success for their continuous counterparts, the standard approach to deal with mixed-integer recourse (MIR) models under distributional uncertainty is to use distributionally robust optimization (DRO). We argue, however, that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 E. Ruben van Beesten , Ward Romeijnders , David P. Morton

We revisit Merton's continuous-time portfolio selection through a data-driven, distributionally robust lens. Our aim is to tap the benefits of frequent trading over short horizons while acknowledging that drift is hard to pin down, whereas…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jose Blanchet , Jiayi Cheng , Hao Liu , Yang Liu

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

Safe control of constrained linear systems under both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is considered. The aleatory uncertainty characterizes random noises and is modeled by a probability distribution function (PDF) and the epistemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Hamidreza Modares

Logistic regression models are widely used in the social and behavioral sciences and in high-stakes domains, due to their simplicity and interpretability properties. At the same time, such domains are permeated by distribution shifts, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Qingshi Sun , Nathan Justin , Andres Gomez , Phebe Vayanos

A particularly challenging problem in AI safety is providing guarantees on the behavior of high-dimensional autonomous systems. Verification approaches centered around reachability analysis fail to scale, and purely statistical approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Souradeep Dutta , Michele Caprio , Vivian Lin , Matthew Cleaveland , Kuk Jin Jang , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

This study investigates a robust screening problem under distributional ambiguity, where a seller is uncertain about a buyer's true valuation distribution, knowing only that it lies near a reference distribution measured by the Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Shumin Ma , Daniel Zhuoyu Long , Lijian Lu

We investigate a stochastic program with expected value constraints, addressing the problem in a general context through Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach using Wasserstein distances, where the ambiguity set depends on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Diego Fonseca , Mauricio Junca

The robustness of fault detection algorithms against uncertainty is crucial in the real-world industrial environment. Recently, a new probabilistic design scheme called distributionally robust fault detection (DRFD) has emerged and received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Yulin Feng , Hailang Jin , Steven X. Ding , Hao Ye , Chao Shang
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