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Penalized transformation models (PTMs) are a semiparametric location-scale regression family that estimate a response's conditional distribution directly from the data, and model the location and scale through structured additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Thomas Kneib

This work introduces a novel approach for generating conditional probabilistic rainfall forecasts with temporal and spatial dependence. A two-step procedure is employed. Firstly, marginal location-specific distributions are jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 David Huk , Rilwan A. Adewoyin , Ritabrata Dutta

We study the drivers and spatial diffusion of U.S. state population growth using a dynamic spatial model for 49 states, 1965-2017. Methodologically, we recover the spatial network structure from the data, rather than imposing it a priori…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Sebastian Kripfganz , Vasilis Sarafidis

Regression with compositional responses is challenging due to the nonlinear geometry of the simplex and the limitations of Euclidean methods. We propose a regression framework for manifold-valued data based on mappings to statistically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Mymuna Monem , Ian L. Dryden , Florence George , Natalia Soares Quinete

Climate models are essential for understanding large-scale climate dynamics and long-term climate change, yet they exhibit systematic biases when compared with historical observations. Existing multivariate bias correction (MBC) approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Theresa Meier , Erwan Koch , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Thibault Vatter

Many biological high-throughput data sets, such as targeted amplicon-based and metagenomic sequencing data, are compositional in nature. A common exploratory data analysis task is to infer statistical associations between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Aditya Mishra , Christian L. Muller

There is growing evidence in the epidemiologic literature of the relationship between air pollution and adverse health outcomes. Prediction of individual air pollution exposure in the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) funded…

There is a growing need for flexible general frameworks that integrate individual-level data with external summary information for improved statistical inference. External information relevant for a risk prediction model may come in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

Penalized regression is an attractive framework for variable selection problems. Often, variables possess a grouping structure, and the relevant selection problem is that of selecting groups, not individual variables. The group lasso has…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-20 Patrick Breheny , Jian Huang

Nitrogen dioxide (NO$_2$) is a primary constituent of traffic-related air pollution and has well established harmful environmental and human-health impacts. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal distribution of NO$_2$ is critical for exposure and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-18 Kyle P Messier , Matthias Katzfuss

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

We produce methodology for regression analysis when the geographic locations of the independent and dependent variables do not coincide, in which case we speak of misaligned data. We develop and investigate two complementary methods for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Guillaume Allaire Pouliot

In many applications, survey data are collected from different survey centers in different regions. It happens that in some circumstances, response variables are completely observed while the covariates have missing values. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Guanyu Hu , Ming-Hui Chen

Geographical data are generally autocorrelated. In this case, it is preferable to select spread units. In this paper, we propose a new method for selecting well-spread samples from a finite spatial population with equal or unequal inclusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

In structured additive distributional regression, the conditional distribution of the response variables given the covariate information and the vector of model parameters is modelled using a P-parametric probability density function where…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-06 Gianmarco Callegher , Thomas Kneib , Johannes Söding , Paul Wiemann

We consider the problem of choosing between several models in least-squares regression with heteroscedastic data. We prove that any penalization procedure is suboptimal when the penalty is a function of the dimension of the model, at least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Sylvain Arlot

In distributed optimization, the communication of model updates can be a performance bottleneck. Consequently, gradient compression has been proposed as a means of increasing optimization throughput. In general, due to information loss,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Thomas Flynn , Patrick Johnstone , Shinjae Yoo

As with the advancement of geographical information systems, non-Gaussian spatial data sets are getting larger and more diverse. This study develops a general framework for fast and flexible non-Gaussian regression, especially for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita , Tomoko Matsui

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have seen many developments in recent years. Though spatial joint models are still rare and the traditional proportional hazards formulation of the time-to-event part of the model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Anja Rappl , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Elisabeth Bergherr

The empirical literature on the relationship between income inequality and economic growth has produced highly heterogeneous and often conflicting results. This paper investigates the sources of this heterogeneity using a meta-analytic…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Lisa Capretti , Lorenzo Tonni
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