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Related papers: Multi-Quantile Regression for Extreme Precipitatio…

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Rare events such as financial crashes, climate extremes, and biological anomalies are notoriously difficult to model due to their scarcity and heavy-tailed distributions. Classical deep generative models often struggle to capture these rare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 M. Z. Haider , M. U. Ghouri , Tayyaba Noreen , M. Salman

The composite quantile regression (CQR) was introduced by Zou and Yuan [Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 1108--1126] as a robust regression method for linear models with heavy-tailed errors while achieving high efficiency. Its penalized counterpart…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Haeseong Moon , Wen-Xin Zhou

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Countries in South Asia experience many catastrophic flooding events regularly. Through image classification, it is possible to expedite search and rescue initiatives by classifying flood zones, including houses and humans. We create a new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Ibne Hassan , Aman Mujahid , Abdullah Al Hasib , Andalib Rahman Shagoto , Joyanta Jyoti Mondal , Meem Arafat Manab , Jannatun Noor

In this study, we examine a Bayesian approach to analyze extreme daily rainfall amounts and forecast return-levels. Estimating the probability of occurrence and quantiles of future extreme events is important in many applications, including…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-29 Douglas E. Johnston

Estimating spatial extremes from sparse observational networks produces uncertain return level maps, but dense output from physics-based simulation models is often available as a complementary data source. We develop a two-stage frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Brian N. White , Brian Blanton , Rick Luettich , Richard L. Smith

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Analyzing large-scale data from simulations of turbulent flows is memory intensive, requiring significant resources. This major challenge highlights the need for data compression techniques. In this study, we apply a physics-informed Deep…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-07-26 Mohammadreza Momenifar , Enmao Diao , Vahid Tarokh , Andrew D. Bragg

Accurate weather forecasting is essential for understanding and mitigating weather-related impacts. In this paper, we present PuYun, an autoregressive cascade model that leverages large kernel attention convolutional networks. The model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Shengchen Zhu , Yiming Chen , Peiying Yu , Xiang Qu , Yuxiao Zhou , Yiming Ma , Zhizhan Zhao , Yukai Liu , Hao Mi , Bin Wang

Short-range prediction of convective precipitation from weather radar observations is essential for severe weather warnings. However, deep learning models trained with pixel-wise error metrics tend to produce overly smooth forecasts that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Haofei Cui , Guangxin He , Juanzhen Sun , Jingjia Luo , Haonan Chen , Xiaoran Zhuang , Mingxuan Chen , Xian Xiao

Analyzing big geophysical observational data collected by multiple advanced sensors on various satellite platforms promotes our understanding of the geophysical system. For instance, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have achieved great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Boyo Chen , Buo-Fu Chen , Yun-Nung Chen

Storm surge and waves are responsible for a substantial portion of tropical and extratropical cyclones-related damages. While high-fidelity numerical models have significantly advanced the simulation accuracy of storm surge and waves, they…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki

While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates. We assess the extrapolation capabilities of a deterministic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven Sherwood , Gab Abramowitz

Hydrological post-processing using quantile regression algorithms constitutes a prime means of estimating the uncertainty of hydrological predictions. Nonetheless, conventional large-sample theory for quantile regression does not apply…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Channel estimation is one of the main tasks in realizing practical intelligent reflecting surface-assisted multi-user communication (IRS-MC) systems. However, different from traditional communication systems, an IRS-MC system generally…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-03 Chang Liu , Xuemeng Liu , Derrick Wing Kwan Ng , Jinhong Yuan

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

High-resolution flood probability maps are instrumental for assessing flood risk but are often limited by the availability of historical data. Additionally, producing simulated data needed for creating probabilistic flood maps using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Lipai Huang , Federico Antolini , Ali Mostafavi , Russell Blessing , Matthew Garcia , Samuel D. Brody

Turbulent flow fields are characterized by extreme events that are statistically intermittent and carry a significant amount of energy and physical importance. To emulate these flows, we introduce the extreme variational Autoencoder (xVAE),…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-10 Likun Zhang , Kiran Bhaganagar , Christopher K. Wikle

Traditional methods for enhancing tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from climate model outputs or projections have primarily relied on either dynamical or statistical downscaling. With recent advances in deep learning (DL) techniques, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Minh-Khanh Luong , Chanh Kieu

This paper introduces a deep learning-based super-resolution (SR) framework specifically developed for accurately reconstructing high-resolution velocity fields in two-way coupled particle-laden turbulent flows. Leveraging conditional…

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