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Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

One of the main challenges in surrogate modeling is the limited availability of data due to resource constraints associated with computationally expensive simulations. Multi-fidelity methods provide a solution by chaining models in a…

This study introduces a surrogate modeling framework merging proper orthogonal decomposition, long short-term memory networks, and multi-task learning, to accurately predict elastoplastic deformations in real-time. Superior to single-task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Ruben Schmeitz , Joris Remmers , Olga Mula , Olaf van der Sluis

Risk assessment of hurricane-driven storm surge relies on deterministic computer models that produce outputs over a large spatial domain. The surge models can often be run at a range of fidelity levels, with greater precision yielding more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Cyrus S. McCrimmon , Pulong Ma

Engineering and applied sciences use models of increasing complexity to simulate the behaviour of manufactured and physical systems. Propagation of uncertainties from the input to a response quantity of interest through such models may…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 K. Konakli , B. Sudret

Model predictive control solves a constrained optimization problem online in order to compute an implicit closed-loop control policy. Recursive feasibility -- guaranteeing that the optimal control problem will have a solution at every time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Jacob W. Knaup , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Verifying safety of neural network control systems that use images as input is a difficult problem because, from a given system state, there is no known way to mathematically model what images are possible in the real-world. We build on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Feiyang Cai , Chuchu Fan , Stanley Bak

Concurrent multiscale finite element analysis (FE2) is a powerful approach for high-fidelity modeling of materials for which a suitable macroscopic constitutive model is not available. However, the extreme computational effort associated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-16 I. B. C. M. Rocha , P. Kerfriden , F. P. van der Meer

This paper is concerned with probabilistic techniques for forecasting dynamical systems described by partial differential equations (such as, for example, the Navier-Stokes equations). In particular, it is investigating and comparing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Hans Harder , Abhijeet Vishwasrao , Luca Guastoni , Ricardo Vinuesa , Sebastian Peitz

Surrogate safety measures can provide fast and pro-active safety analysis and give insights on the pre-crash process and crash failure mechanism by studying near misses. However, validating surrogate safety measures by connecting them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jiajian Lu , Offer Grembek , Mark Hansen

In this paper, we present a surrogate-based multiscale approach to model constant strain-rate and creep experiments on unidirectional thermoplastic composites under off-axis loading. In previous contributions, these experiments were modeled…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-20 M. A. Maia , I. B. C. M. Rocha , D. Kovačević , F. P. van der Meer

Flow network models can capture the underlying physics and operational constraints of many networked systems including the power grid and transportation and water networks. However, analyzing reliability of systems using computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Nariman L. Dehghani , Soroush Zamanian , Abdollah Shafieezadeh

Cox models with time-dependent coefficients and covariates are widely used in survival analysis. In high-dimensional settings, sparse regularization techniques are employed for variable selection, but existing methods for time-dependent Cox…

In computational fluid dynamics, there is an inevitable trade off between accuracy and computational cost. In this work, a novel multi-fidelity deep generative model is introduced for the surrogate modeling of high-fidelity turbulent flow…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-01-12 Nicholas Geneva , Nicholas Zabaras

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon

This paper explores the use of Control Affine Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous (CA-NNARX) models for nonlinear system identification and model-based control design. The idea behind this architecture is to match the known…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-24 Jing Xie , Fabio Bonassi , Riccardo Scattolini

Reliability analysis of engineering systems under uncertainty poses significant computational challenges, particularly for problems involving high-dimensional stochastic inputs, nonlinear system responses, and multiphysics couplings.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

This work explores a dynamics-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) as a data-driven surrogate for computationally intensive Earth system simulations. Focusing on multivariate time series describing global ocean transport, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Adeline Hillier , Jennifer Sleeman , Jay Brett , Caroline Tang , Jenelle Millison , Anand Gnanadesikan

The development of next-generation structural materials for harsh environments requires rapid assessment of mechanical performance and its dependence on microstructure. While full-field crystal plasticity (CP) models provide detailed…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-10-09 Michael D. Atkinson , Michael D. White , Adam J. Plowman , Pratheek Shanthraj
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