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Related papers: Bayesian Persuasion with a Risk-Conscious Receiver

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In this paper we address the problem of decision making within a Markov decision process (MDP) framework where risk and modeling errors are taken into account. Our approach is to minimize a risk-sensitive conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Yinlam Chow , Aviv Tamar , Shie Mannor , Marco Pavone

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Enforcing safety in the presence of stochastic uncertainty is a challenging problem. Traditionally, researchers have proposed safety in the statistical mean as a safety measure in this case. However, ensuring safety in the statistical mean…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Xiaobin Xiong , Aaron D. Ames

Reward models are central to aligning language models with human preferences via reinforcement learning (RL). As RL is increasingly applied to settings such as verifiable rewards and multi-objective alignment, RMs are expected to encode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jiwoo Hong , Shao Tang , Zhipeng Wang

Despite remarkable progress in recent years, Vision Language Models (VLMs) remain prone to overconfidence and hallucinations on tasks such as Visual Question Answering (VQA) and Visual Reasoning. Bayesian methods can potentially improve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Tobias Jan Wieczorek , Nathalie Daun , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Marcus Rohrbach

We introduce the concept of leakage-robust Bayesian persuasion. Situated between public persuasion [KG11, CCG23, Xu20] and private persuasion [AB19], leakage-robust persuasion considers a setting where one or more signals privately sent by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Nika Haghtalab , Mingda Qiao , Kunhe Yang

We study the problem of selection in the context of Bayesian persuasion. We are given multiple agents with hidden values (or quality scores), to whom resources must be allocated by a welfare-maximizing decision-maker. An intermediary with…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yannan Bai , Kamesh Munagala , Yiheng Shen , Davidson Zhu

In order to model risk aversion in reinforcement learning, an emerging line of research adapts familiar algorithms to optimize coherent risk functionals, a class that includes conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). Because optimizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Audrey Huang , Liu Leqi , Zachary C. Lipton , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

Autonomous agents operating in sequential decision-making tasks under uncertainty can benefit from external action suggestions, which provide valuable guidance but inherently vary in reliability. Existing methods for incorporating such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Dylan M. Asmar , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Preference-based Reinforcement Learning (PbRL) is a paradigm in which an RL agent learns to optimize a task using pair-wise preference-based feedback over trajectories, rather than explicit reward signals. While PbRL has demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Wenhao Zhan , Masatoshi Uehara , Wen Sun , Jason D. Lee

If a sender in a persuasion game can use a sequence of experiments rather than a single experiment, does this change the sender's value? We show that the sender can benefit more from dynamic persuasion than from static persuasion when the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-20 Masanori Kobayashi

We propose a convex formulation for a trading system with the Conditional Value-at-Risk as a risk-adjusted performance measure under the notion of Direct Reinforcement Learning. Due to convexity, the proposed approach can uncover a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-30 Ali Al-Ameer , Khaled Alshehri

Tail Value-at-Risk (TVaR) is a widely adopted risk measure playing a critically important role in both academic research and industry practice in insurance. In data applications, TVaR is often estimated using the empirical method, owing to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Nadezhda Gribkova , Jianxi Su , Mengqi Wang

We study the robustness of Bayesian persuasion to uncertainty about the receiver's preferences. We analyze two conceptually distinct notions: continuity, in which only the modeler lacks precise knowledge, but where the model's predictions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Ronen Gradwohl , Fengming Hu , Rann Smorodinsky

We consider Bayesian optimization of objective functions of the form $\rho[ F(x, W) ]$, where $F$ is a black-box expensive-to-evaluate function and $\rho$ denotes either the VaR or CVaR risk measure, computed with respect to the randomness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Sait Cakmak , Raul Astudillo , Peter Frazier , Enlu Zhou

Recent work established a generalized-Fano framework for lower bounding prior-predictive (Bayesian) CVaR in interactive statistical decision making. In this paper, we show how to instantiate that framework in concrete interactive problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Raghav Bongole , Tobias J. Oechtering , Mikael Skoglund

We present a Bayesian view of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM) for offline learning from logged bandit feedback. Using PAC-Bayesian analysis, we derive a new generalization bound for the truncated inverse propensity score estimator.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Ben London , Ted Sandler

Reinforcement learning algorithms utilizing policy gradients (PG) to optimize Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) face significant challenges with sample inefficiency, hindering their practical applications. This inefficiency stems from two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Yudong Luo , Yangchen Pan , Han Wang , Philip Torr , Pascal Poupart

Traditional imitation learning provides a set of methods and algorithms to learn a reward function or policy from expert demonstrations. Learning from demonstration has been shown to be advantageous for navigation tasks as it allows for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Christian Ellis , Maggie Wigness , John G. Rogers , Craig Lennon , Lance Fiondella

Consider a persuasion game where both the sender and receiver are ambiguity averse with maxmin expected utility (MEU) preferences and the sender can choose an ambiguous information structure. This paper analyzes the game in an ex-ante…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-12 Xiaoyu Cheng