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We introduce a multi-fidelity estimator of covariance matrices that employs the log-Euclidean geometry of the symmetric positive-definite manifold. The estimator fuses samples from a hierarchy of data sources of differing fidelities and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-30 Aimee Maurais , Terrence Alsup , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Youssef Marzouk

Physics simulations have become fundamental tools to study myriad engineering systems. As physics simulations often involve simplifications, their outputs should be calibrated using real-world data. In this paper, we present a…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-25 Naichen Shi , Hao Yan , Shenghan Guo , Raed Al Kontar

Data assimilation presents computational challenges because many high-fidelity models must be simulated. Various deep-learning-based surrogate modeling techniques have been developed to reduce the simulation costs associated with these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Su Jiang , Louis J. Durlofsky

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Aerodynamic shape optimization in industry still faces challenges related to robustness and scalability. This aspect becomes crucial for advanced optimizations that rely on expensive high-fidelity flow solvers, where computational budget…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-26 Marc Schouler , Anca Belme , Paola Cinnella

Active multi-fidelity surrogate modeling is developed for multi-condition airfoil shape optimization to reduce high-fidelity CFD cost while retaining RANS-level accuracy. The framework couples a low-fidelity-informed Gaussian process…

Two of the most significant challenges in uncertainty quantification pertain to the high computational cost for simulating complex physical models and the high dimension of the random inputs. In applications of practical interest, both of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Jonas Nitzler , Jonas Biehler , Niklas Fehn , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Wolfgang A. Wall

High-fidelity experimental characterization of turbulent premixed flames remains limited by the cost and complexity of advanced diagnostics, particularly under elevated pressures and intense turbulence where measurements of coupled flame…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Saghar Zolfaghari , Yu Xie , Junfeng Yang , Safa Jamali

A multi-fidelity regression model is proposed for combining multiple datasets with different fidelities, particularly abundant low-fidelity data and scarce high-fidelity observations. The model builds upon recent multi-fidelity frameworks…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-21 Mohammad Hossein Saadat

Multi-fidelity models are of great importance due to their capability of fusing information coming from different numerical simulations, surrogates, and sensors. We focus on the approximation of high-dimensional scalar functions with low…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Francesco Romor , Marco Tezzele , Markus Mrosek , Carsten Othmer , Gianluigi Rozza

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Efficiently performing predictive studies of irradiated particle-laden turbulent flows has the potential of providing significant contributions towards better understanding and optimizing, for example, concentrated solar power systems. As…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-08-20 Hillary R. Fairbanks , Lluis Jofre , Gianluca Geraci , Gianluca Iaccarino , Alireza Doostan

Multi-fidelity modelling arises in many situations in computational science and engineering world. It enables accurate inference even when only a small set of accurate data is available. Those data often come from a high-fidelity model,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-12 Jiahao Zhang , Shiqi Zhang , Guang Lin

The increasing incidence and severity of wildfires underscores the necessity of accurately predicting their behavior. While high-fidelity models derived from first principles offer physical accuracy, they are too computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 John Burge , Matthew R. Bonanni , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

Modern container ships face higher wind loads due to increased windage areas, making accurate predictions of wind loads essential for mooring design. Existing empirical models, largely developed for container ships with smaller windage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Matilde Fiore , Andrea Bresciani , Miguel Alfonso Mendez , Jeroen van Beeck

Composite materials exhibit strongly hierarchical and anisotropic properties governed by coupled mechanisms spanning constituents, plies, laminates, structures, and manufacturing history. This intrinsic complexity makes predictive modeling…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Haizhou Wen , Elham Kiyani , Gang Li , Srikanth Pilla , George Em Karniadakis , Zhen Li

Multifidelity uncertainty propagation combines the efficiency of low-fidelity models with the accuracy of a high-fidelity model to construct statistical estimators of quantities of interest. It is well known that the effectiveness of such…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-06 James E. Warner , Geoffrey F. Bomarito , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred

A two-dimensional model of wildfire spread and merger is presented. Three features affect the fire propagation: (i) a constant basic rate of spread term accounting for radiative and convective heat transfer, (ii) the unidirectional,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-13 Samuel J. Harris , N. R. McDonald

Highly accurate datasets from numerical or physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming to acquire, posing a significant challenge for applications that require precise evaluations, potentially across multiple scenarios and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Attilio Frangi , Andrea Manzoni