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Microgrid operation is highly vulnerable to short-term load uncertainty, while conventional predict-then-optimize pipelines cannot fully align probabilistic forecasting quality with downstream robust scheduling performance. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Tingwei Cao , Yan Xu

This paper investigates inland port infrastructure investment planning under uncertain commodity demand conditions. A two-stage stochastic optimization is developed to model the impact of demand uncertainty on infrastructure planning and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Sanjeev Bhurtyal , Sarah Hernandez , Sandra Eksioglu , Manzi Yves

This paper presents sensitivity analyses of resilience-based active distribution system planning solutions with respect to different parameters. The distribution system planning problem is formulated as a two-stage risk-averse stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Anamika Dubey

Prediction plays a vital role in the active distribution network voltage regulation under the high penetration of photovoltaics. Current prediction models aim at minimizing individual prediction errors but overlook their collective impacts…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-25 Linwei Sang , Yinliang Xu , Huan Long , Wenchuan Wu

In this paper, a multi-stage model for expansion co-planning of transmission lines, Battery Energy Storages (BESs), and Wind Farms (WFs) is presented considering resilience against extreme weather events. In addition to High Voltage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Turaj Amraee , Saleh Sadeghi Gougheri

This paper proposes a stochastic optimal preparation and resource allocation method for upcoming extreme weather events in distribution systems, which can assist utilities to achieve faster and more efficient post-event restoration. With…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-22 Qianzhi Zhang , Zhaoyu Wang , Shanshan Ma , Anmar Arif

This paper analyses the risk factors around investing in global supply chain infrastructure: the energy market, investor sentiment, and global shipping costs. It presents portfolio strategies associated with dynamic risks. A time-varying…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-08 Haibo Wang

We develop multi-stage linear decision rules (LDRs) for dynamic power system generation and energy storage investment planning under uncertainty and propose their chance-constrained optimization with performance guarantees. First, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Dharik Mallapragada , Audun Botterud

Infrastructure networks are increasingly vulnerable to natural hazards and design flaws, making resilience assessment essential. This paper presents a scenario-based framework to evaluate network vulnerability by combining local measures…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. Saei , N. Tajik

Owing to the potential higher energy supply efficiency and operation flexibility, integrated energy system (IES), which usually includes electric power, gas and heating/cooling systems, is considered as one of the primary forms of energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-23 Ang Xuan , Xinwei Shen , Qinglai Guo , Hongbin Sun

As power systems become more complex with the continuous integration of intelligent distributed energy resources (DERs), new risks and uncertainties arise. Consequently, to enhance system resiliency, it is essential to account for various…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Md Isfakul Anam , Tuyen Vu , Jianhua Zhang

The combination of boundary flow control and variable speed limit (VSL) is a widely used strategy for highway corridors to maintain safety and throughput when the capacity downstream is dropped. However, most proposed models assume fixed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Hao Liu , Suyash Vishnoi , Christian Claudel

This work presents a methodology to incorporate reliability constraints in the optimal power systems expansion planning problem. Besides LOLP and EPNS, traditionally used in power systems, this work proposes the use of the risk measures VaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Luiz Carlos da Costa , Fernanda Souza Thomé , Joaquim Dias Garcia , Mario V. F. Pereira

To figure out the stability issues brought by renewable energy sources (RES) with non-Gaussian uncertainties in isolated microgrids, this paper proposes a chance constrained stability constrained optimal power flow (CC-SC-OPF) model.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Jun Wang , Yue Song , David John Hill , Yunhe Hou , Feilong Fan

Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure in financial engineering, energy systems, and supply chain management. In these domains, Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a long-run CVaR criterion effectively mitigate cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Qixin Wang , Hao Cao , Jian-Qiang Hu , Mingjie Hu , Li Xia

We present and analyze a three-stage stochastic optimization model that integrates output from a geoscience-based flood model with a power flow model for transmission grid resilience planning against flooding. The proposed model coordinates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Ashutosh Shukla , Erhan Kutanoglu , John Hasenbein

When planning the investment in Microgrids (MGs), usually static security constraints are included to ensure their resilience and ability to operate in islanded mode. However, unscheduled islanding events may trigger cascading…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Agnes Marjorie Nakiganda , Shahab Dehghan , Uros Markovic , Gabriela Hug , Petros Aristidou

We introduce an aggregation framework to address multi-stage stochastic programs with mixed-integer state variables and continuous local variables (MSILPs). Our aggregation framework imposes additional structure to the integer state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Margarita P. Castro , Merve Bodur , Yongjia Song

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

This paper studies the robust co-planning of proactive network hardening and mobile hydrogen energy resources (MHERs) scheduling, which is to enhance the resilience of power distribution network (PDN) against the disastrous events. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Donglai Ma , Xiaoyu Cao , Bo Zeng , Chen Chen , Qiaozhu Zhai , Qing-Shan Jia , Xiaohong Guan
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