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This work presents ensemble forecasting of monthly electricity demand using pattern similarity-based forecasting methods (PSFMs). PSFMs applied in this study include $k$-nearest neighbor model, fuzzy neighborhood model, kernel regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Movement of soil moisture associated with tree root-water uptake is ecologically important, but technically challenging to measure. Here, the self-potential (SP) method, a passive electrical geophysical method, is used to characterize water…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-17 Emily Voytek , Holly Barnard , Damien Jougnot , Kamini Singha

Accurate and timely hyperlocal weather predictions are essential for various applications, ranging from agriculture to disaster management. In this paper, we propose a novel approach that combines hyperlocal weather prediction and anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Anita B. Agarwal , Rohit Rajesh , Nitin Arul

Prediction of climate tipping is challenging due to the lack of recent observation of actual climate tipping. Despite many previous efforts to accurately predict the existence and timing of climate tippings under specific climate scenarios,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-01 Amane Kubo , Yohei Sawada

Despite the necessity for accurate flood prediction, many regions lack sufficient river discharge observations. Although numerous models for daily river discharge prediction exist, achieving high accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mizuki Funato , Yohei Sawada

Accurate predictions and representations of plant growth patterns in simulated and controlled environments are important for addressing various challenges in plant phenomics research. This review explores various works on state-of-the-art…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-17 Mohamed Debbagh , Shangpeng Sun , Mark Lefsrud

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

We present here two promising techniques for the application of the complex network approach to continuous spatio-temporal systems that have been developed in the last decade and show large potential for future application and development…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-19 Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

Urban environments face significant challenges due to climate change, including extreme heat, drought, and water scarcity, which impact public health, community well-being, and local economies. Effective management of these issues is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Nasser Ghadiri , Bahman Javadi , Oliver Obst , Sebastian Pfautsch

Climate science is critical for understanding both the causes and consequences of changes in global temperatures and has become imperative for decisive policy-making. However, climate science studies commonly require addressing complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Juan Carrillo , Daniel Garijo , Mark Crowley , Rober Carrillo , Yolanda Gil , Katherine Borda

This paper describes a methodology for automated univariate time series forecasting using regression trees and their ensembles: bagging and random forests. The key aspects that are addressed are: the use of an autoregressive approach and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Francisco Martínez , María P. Frías

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

This paper addresses the use of smart-home sensor streams for continuous prediction of energy loads of individual households which participate as an agent in local markets. We introduces a new device level energy consumption dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Christoph Doblander , Martin Strohbach , Holger Ziekow , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) has a decisive influence on India's agricultural output and economy. Extreme deviations from the normal seasonal amount of rainfall can cause severe droughts or floods, affecting Indian food…

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

Space weather indices are used commonly to drive forecasts of thermosphere density, which directly affects objects in low-Earth orbit (LEO) through atmospheric drag. One of the most commonly used space weather proxies, $F_{10.7 cm}$,…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-06-06 Joshua D. Daniell , Piyush M. Mehta

We develop a 3D porous medium model for sap flow within a tree stem, which consists of a nonlinear parabolic partial differential equation with a suitable transpiration source term. Using an asymptotic analysis, we derive approximate series…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-08 Bebart Maisar Janbek , John M. Stockie

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares , Albert Bifet

Deep learning based approaches have achieved significant progresses in different tasks like classification, detection, segmentation, and so on. Ensemble learning is widely known to further improve performance by combining multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Danlu Chen , Xu-Yao Zhang , Wei Zhang , Yao Lu , Xiuli Li , Tao Mei

A common objective in the analysis of tabular data is estimating the conditional distribution (in contrast to only producing predictions) of a set of "outcome" variables given a set of "covariates", which is sometimes referred to as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-08 Zhuoqun Wang , Naoki Awaya , Li Ma
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