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Crucial for building trust in deep learning models for critical real-world applications is efficient and theoretically sound uncertainty quantification, a task that continues to be challenging. Useful uncertainty information is expected to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

Nonlinear dynamical systems exposed to changing forcing can exhibit catastrophic transitions between alternative and often markedly different states. The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) can be used to anticipate such transitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Peter Ashwin , Niklas Boers

We develop Structured-Knowledge-Informed Neural Networks (SKINNs), a unified estimation framework that embeds theoretical, simulated, previously learned, or cross-domain insights as differentiable constraints within flexible neural function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Yi Cao , Zexun Chen , Lin William Cong , Heqing Shi

Effective decision making requires understanding the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. In regression, this uncertainty can be estimated by a variety of methods; however, many of these methods are laborious to tune, generate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-02 Tianhui Zhou , Yitong Li , Yuan Wu , David Carlson

Integro-difference equation (IDE) models describe the conditional dependence between the spatial process at a future time point and the process at the present time point through an integral operator. Nonlinearity or temporal dependence in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Christopher K. Wikle

Computer-aided diagnosis systems must make critical decisions from medical images that are often noisy, ambiguous, or conflicting, yet today's models are trained on overly simplistic labels that ignore diagnostic uncertainty. One-hot labels…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Ang Nan Gu , Michael Tsang , Hooman Vaseli , Purang Abolmaesumi , Teresa Tsang

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

Robust local feature representations are essential for spatial intelligence tasks such as robot navigation and augmented reality. Establishing reliable correspondences requires descriptors that provide both high discriminative power and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Haodi Yao , Fenghua He , Ning Hao , Yao Su

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) frequently encounter difficulties in accurately resolving shock waves within high-speed compressible flows, a failure largely attributed to the "gradient pathology" arising from extreme stiffness at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Darui Zhao , Ze Tao , Fujun Liu

Remarkable achievements have been attained by deep neural networks in various applications. However, the increasing depth and width of such models also lead to explosive growth in both storage and computation, which has restricted the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Linfeng Zhang , Zhanhong Tan , Jiebo Song , Jingwei Chen , Chenglong Bao , Kaisheng Ma

Artificial neural networks will always make a prediction, even when completely uncertain and regardless of the consequences. This obliviousness of uncertainty is a major obstacle towards their adoption in practice. Techniques exist,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are gaining popularity as a method for solving differential equations. While being more feasible in some contexts than the classical numerical techniques, PINNs still lack credibility. A remedy for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Olga Graf , Pablo Flores , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainty by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have focused…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Cooper Lorsung

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainties by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Sujay Thakur , Cooper Lorsung , Yaniv Yacoby , Finale Doshi-Velez , Weiwei Pan

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

Deep learning has emerged as a promising solution for efficient channel state information (CSI) feedback in frequency division duplex (FDD) massive MIMO systems. Conventional deep learning-based methods typically rely on a deep autoencoder…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Haotian Tian , Lixiang Lian , Jiaqi Cao , Sijie Ji

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Seismic wave forward and inverse modeling are fundamental tools for subsurface imaging and geological hazard assessment. Conventional grid-based numerical methods, such as finite-difference and finite-element approaches, often require dense…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-23 Chaohua Liang , Xingliang Peng , Jun Matsushima

We present a general numerical approach for learning unknown dynamical systems using deep neural networks (DNNs). Our method is built upon recent studies that identified the residue network (ResNet) as an effective neural network structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

We present a deep learning framework for quantifying and propagating uncertainty in systems governed by non-linear differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. Specifically, we employ latent variable models to construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris