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System Identification (SysID) is crucial for modeling and understanding dynamical systems using experimental data. While traditional SysID methods emphasize linear models, their inability to fully capture nonlinear dynamics has driven the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Mehmet Ali Ferah , Tufan Kumbasar

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are becoming more prevalent in important safety-critical applications, where reliability in the prediction is paramount. Despite their exceptional prediction capabilities, current DNNs do not have an implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 David Betancourt , Rafi Muhanna

We propose a fast, non-Bayesian method for producing uncertainty scores in the output of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs) using a data-driven interval propagating network. This interval neural network (INN) has interval valued…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Luis Oala , Cosmas Heiß , Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März , Wojciech Samek , Gitta Kutyniok

Effective uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly attractive for enhancing the reliability of neural networks. This work presents a novel approach, termed Credal-Set Interval Neural Networks (CreINNs), for classification. CreINNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Kaizheng Wang , Keivan Shariatmadar , Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Fabio Cuzzolin , David Moens , Hans Hallez

Neural networks (NNs) can achieved high performance in various fields such as computer vision, and natural language processing. However, deploying NNs in resource-constrained safety-critical systems has challenges due to uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed

This paper introduces an Interpretable Neural Network (INN) incorporating spatial information to tackle the opaque parameterization process of random weighted neural networks. The INN leverages spatial information to elucidate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Jing Nan , Wei Dai

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

The recent decade has seen an enormous rise in the popularity of deep learning and neural networks. These algorithms have broken many previous records and achieved remarkable results. Their outstanding performance has significantly sped up…

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

Critical transitions are the abrupt shifts between qualitatively different states of a system, and they are crucial to understanding tipping points in complex dynamical systems across ecology, climate science, and biology. Detecting these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Swadesh Pal , Roderick Melnik

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

We use interval reachability analysis to obtain robustness guarantees for implicit neural networks (INNs). INNs are a class of implicit learning models that use implicit equations as layers and have been shown to exhibit several notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Alexander Davydov , Saber Jafarpour , Matthew Abate , Francesco Bullo , Samuel Coogan

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in high-stakes applications, such as medical diagnosis, where confidently incorrect predictions can erode trust in automated decision-making systems. Traditional uncertainty quantification…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Hassan Gharoun , Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi , Fang Chen , Amir H. Gandomi

Nonlinear system identification is important with a wide range of applications. The typical approaches for nonlinear system identification include Volterra series models, nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs models,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-28 Hongpeng Zhou , Chahine Ibrahim , Wei Pan

Temporally and spatially dependent uncertain parameters are regularly encountered in engineering applications. Commonly these uncertainties are accounted for using random fields and processes, which require knowledge about the appearing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Jan Niklas Fuhg , Ioannis Kalogeris , Amélie Fau , Nikolaos Bouklas

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Nonlinear system identification often involves a fundamental trade-off between interpretability and flexibility, often requiring the incorporation of physical constraints. We propose a unified data-driven framework that combines the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Federico J. Gonzalez , Luis P. Lara

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt
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