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In this work, we evaluate the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) in building Bayesian Networks (BNs) by approximating domain expert priors. LLMs have demonstrated potential as factual knowledge bases; however, their capability to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Aliakbar Nafar , Kristen Brent Venable , Zijun Cui , Parisa Kordjamshidi

We evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to infer causal relations from natural language. Compared to traditional natural language processing and deep learning techniques, LLMs show competitive performance in a benchmark of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Alessandro Antonucci , Gregorio Piqué , Marco Zaffalon

Rapid, fine-grained disaster damage assessment is essential for effective emergency response, yet remains challenging due to limited ground sensors and delays in official reporting. Social media provides a rich, real-time source of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Zihui Ma , Lingyao Li , Juan Li , Wenyue Hua , Jingxiao Liu , Qingyuan Feng , Yuki Miura

Early detection of depression from social media data offers a valuable opportunity for timely intervention. However, this task poses significant challenges, requiring both professional medical knowledge and the development of accurate and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Xiangyong Chen , Xiaochuan Lin

Fast disaster impact reporting is crucial in planning humanitarian assistance. Large Language Models (LLMs) are well known for their ability to write coherent text and fulfill a variety of tasks relevant to impact reporting, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Grace Colverd , Paul Darm , Leonard Silverberg , Noah Kasmanoff

Recovering the structure of causal graphical models from observational data is an essential yet challenging task for causal discovery in scientific scenarios. Domain-specific causal discovery usually relies on expert validation or prior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Taiyu Ban , Lyuzhou Chen , Derui Lyu , Xiangyu Wang , Qinrui Zhu , Qiang Tu , Huanhuan Chen

Causality understanding between events is a critical natural language processing task that is helpful in many areas, including health care, business risk management and finance. On close examination, one can find a huge amount of textual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Vivek Khetan , Roshni Ramnani , Mayuresh Anand , Shubhashis Sengupta , Andrew E. Fano

This paper presents a novel approach to epidemic surveillance, leveraging the power of Artificial Intelligence and Large Language Models (LLMs) for effective interpretation of unstructured big data sources, like the popular ProMED and WHO…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sergio Consoli , Peter Markov , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis , Lorenzo Bertolini , Antonio Puertas Gallardo , Mario Ceresa

Natural disasters often result in a surge of social media activity, including requests for assistance, offers of help, sentiments, and general updates. To enable humanitarian organizations to respond more efficiently, we propose a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Ahmed El Fekih Zguir , Ferda Ofli , Muhammad Imran

Understanding causality between real-world events from social media is essential for situational awareness, yet existing causal discovery methods often overlook the interplay between semantic, spatial, and temporal contexts. We propose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Hieu Duong , Eugene Levin , Todd Gary , Long Nguyen

Humanitarian crises demand timely and accurate geographic information to inform effective response efforts. Yet, automated systems that extract locations from text often reproduce existing geographic and socioeconomic biases, leading to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-10 G. Cafferata , T. Demarco , K. Kalimeri , Y. Mejova , M. G. Beiró

The causal capabilities of large language models (LLMs) are a matter of significant debate, with critical implications for the use of LLMs in societally impactful domains such as medicine, science, law, and policy. We conduct a "behavorial"…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Emre Kıcıman , Robert Ness , Amit Sharma , Chenhao Tan

Causality is essential for understanding complex systems, such as the economy, the brain, and the climate. Constructing causal graphs often relies on either data-driven or expert-driven approaches, both fraught with challenges. The former…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kai-Hendrik Cohrs , Gherardo Varando , Emiliano Diaz , Vasileios Sitokonstantinou , Gustau Camps-Valls

Causal structure discovery from observations can be improved by integrating background knowledge provided by an expert to reduce the hypothesis space. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have begun to be considered as sources of prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Victor-Alexandru Darvariu , Stephen Hailes , Mirco Musolesi

Social media such as tweets are emerging as platforms contributing to situational awareness during disasters. Information shared on Twitter by both affected population (e.g., requesting assistance, warning) and those outside the impact zone…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Hien To , Sumeet Agrawal , Seon Ho Kim , Cyrus Shahabi

Attribution theory explains how individuals interpret and attribute others' behavior in a social context by employing personal (dispositional) and impersonal (situational) causality. Large Language Models (LLMs), trained on human-generated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Hossein Salemi , Jitin Krishnan , Hemant Purohit

Social media has become an important tool to share information about crisis events such as natural disasters and mass attacks. Detecting actionable posts that contain useful information requires rapid analysis of huge volume of data in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Evangelia Spiliopoulou , Salvador Medina Maza , Eduard Hovy , Alexander Hauptmann

Social media text shows promise for monitoring trends in the opioid overdose crisis; however, the overwhelming majority of social media text is unrelated to opioids. When leveraging social media text to monitor trends in the ongoing opioid…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Kristy A. Carpenter , Issah A. Samori , Mathew V. Kiang , Keith Humphreys , Anna Lembke , Johannes C. Eichstaedt , Russ B. Altman

Social media are more than just a one-way communication channel. Data can be collected, analyzed and contextualized to support disaster risk management. However, disaster management agencies typically use such added-value information to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Markus Enenkel , Sofia Martinez Saenz , Denyse S. Dookie , Lisette Braman , Nick Obradovich , Yury Kryvasheyeu

The ability to robustly identify causal relationships is essential for autonomous decision-making and adaptation to novel scenarios. However, accurately inferring causal structure requires integrating both world knowledge and abstract…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Khurram Yamin , Shantanu Gupta , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Zachary C. Lipton , Bryan Wilder