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We study stability properties of the expected utility function in Bayesian optimal experimental design. We provide a framework for this problem in a non-parametric setting and prove a convergence rate of the expected utility with respect to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Duc-Lam Duong , Tapio Helin , Jose Rodrigo Rojo-Garcia

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

Recent research has highlighted a critical issue known as ``robust fairness", where robust accuracy varies significantly across different classes, undermining the reliability of deep neural networks (DNNs). A common approach to address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Gaojie Jin , Sihao Wu , Jiaxu Liu , Tianjin Huang , Ronghui Mu

The present study aims to determine the lifetime prognosis of highly durable nondestructive one-shot devices (NOSD) units under a step-stress accelerated life testing (SSALT) experiment applying a cumulative risk model (CRM). In an SSALT…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Shanya Baghel , Shuvashree Mondal

This research considers the ranking and selection with input uncertainty. The objective is to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting the best alternative under a fixed simulation budget, where each alternative is measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Hui Xiao , Zhihong Wei

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

Neural network NLP models are vulnerable to small modifications of the input that maintain the original meaning but result in a different prediction. In this paper, we focus on robustness of text classification against word substitutions,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Emanuele La Malfa , Min Wu , Luca Laurenti , Benjie Wang , Anthony Hartshorn , Marta Kwiatkowska

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

In this paper, we address the important issue of uncertainty in the edge influence probability estimates for the well studied influence maximization problem --- the task of finding $k$ seed nodes in a social network to maximize the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Wei Chen , Tian Lin , Zihan Tan , Mingfei Zhao , Xuren Zhou

Natural systems are remarkably robust and resilient, maintaining essential functions despite variability, uncertainty, and hostile conditions. Understanding these nonlinear, dynamic behaviours is challenging because such systems involve…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-02 Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

In practical optimization problems, we typically model uncertainty as a random variable though its true probability distribution is unobservable to the decision maker. Historical data provides some information of this distribution that we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Arjun Ramachandra , Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Melvyn Sim

Complex decision-making is a prominent aspect of Requirements Engineering. This work presents the Bayesian network Requisites that predicts whether the requirements specification documents have to be revised. We show how to validate…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-01-24 J. del Sagrado , I. M. del Águila

The vulnerability of machine learning models to adversarial attacks remains a critical security challenge. Traditional defenses, such as adversarial training, typically robustify models by minimizing a worst-case loss. However, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Pablo G. Arce , Roi Naveiro , David Ríos Insua

A safety verification task involves verifying a system against a desired safety property under certain assumptions about the environment. However, these environmental assumptions may occasionally be violated due to modeling errors or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-05 Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ian Dardik , Eunsuk Kang , Stéphane Lafortune , Stavros Tripakis

In response to subtle adversarial examples flipping classifications of neural network models, recent research has promoted certified robustness as a solution. There, invariance of predictions to all norm-bounded attacks is achieved through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew C. Cullen , Paul Montague , Shijie Liu , Sarah M. Erfani , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

Bayesian networks are one of the most widely used classes of probabilistic models for risk management and decision support because of their interpretability and flexibility in including heterogeneous pieces of information. In any applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Manuele Leonelli , Jim Q. Smith , Sophia K. Wright

This work proposes a framework for multistage adjustable robust optimization that unifies the treatment of three different types of endogenous uncertainty, where decisions, respectively, (i) alter the uncertainty set, (ii) affect the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-31 Qi Zhang , Wei Feng

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Research in reinforcement learning has produced algorithms for optimal decision making under uncertainty that fall within two main types. The first employs a Bayesian framework, where optimality improves with increased computational time.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-09-22 Christos Dimitrakakis

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock