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Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian

Ocean mesoscale eddies can be thought of as the "weather" of the ocean and strongly influence the ocean's physics, chemistry, and biology; they influence other components of the Earth system via air-sea and sea-ice interactions, and are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Benjamin Lombardi , Ian Grooms , William Kleiber

Accurate ocean dynamics modeling is crucial for enhancing understanding of ocean circulation, predicting climate variability, and tackling challenges posed by climate change. Despite improvements in traditional numerical models, predicting…

Accurately predicting sea-surface temperature weeks to months into the future is an important step toward long term weather forecasting. Standard atmosphere-ocean coupled numerical models provide accurate sea-surface forecasts on the scale…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-18 Julian Rice , Wenwei Xu , Andrew August

Boundary layer turbulence, particularly the vertical fluxes of momentum, shapes the evolution of winds and currents and plays a critical role in weather, climate, and biogeochemical processes. In this work, a unified, data-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Renaud Falga , Sara Shamekh , Laure Zanna

Mesoscale eddies are of utmost importance in understanding ocean dynamics and the transport of heat, salt, and nutrients. Accurate representation of these eddies in ocean models is essential for improving model predictions. However,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-07 Guosong Wang , Min Hou , Xinrong Wu , Xidong Wang , Zhigang Gao , Hongli Fu , Bo Dan , Chunjian Sun , Xiaoshuang Zhang

Recent Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations of the twentieth century climate, which account for anthropogenic and natural forcings, make it possible to study the origin of long-term temperature correlations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Dmitry Vyushin , Igor Zhidkov , Shlomo Havlin , Armin Bunde , Stephen Brenner

Differential buoyancy surface sources in the ocean may induce a density-driven flow that joins faster flow components to create a multi-scale, 3D flow. Potential temperature and salinity are active tracers that determine the ocean's…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-08-10 Ori Saporta-Katz , Edriss S. Titi , Hezi Gildor , Vered Rom-Kedar

Accurate reconstruction of ocean is essential for reflecting global climate dynamics and supporting marine meteorological research. Conventional methods face challenges due to sparse data, algorithmic complexity, and high computational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Yuanyi Song , Pumeng Lyu , Ben Fei , Fenghua Ling , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Global AI weather forecasting still relies mainly on uniform-resolution models, making it hard to combine regional refinement, two-way regional-global coupling, and affordable training cost. We introduce StretchCast, a global-regional AI…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Jin Feng

We present Compressible Atmospheric Model-Network (CAM-NET), an AI model designed to predict neutral atmospheric variables from the Earth's surface to the ionosphere with high accuracy and computational efficiency. Accurate modeling of the…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-07-03 Jiahui Hu , Wenjun Dong

In-situ ocean wave observations are critical to improve model skill and validate remote sensing wave measurements. Historically, such observations are extremely sparse due to the large costs and complexity of traditional wave buoys and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Pieter B. Smit , Isabel A. Houghton , Kalina Jordanova , Thomas Portwood , Evan Shapiro , David Clark , Michael Sosa , Tim T. Janssen

Recently, artificial intelligence-based (AI-based) models for forecasting of global weather have been rapidly developed. Most of the global models are trained on reanalysis datasets with a spatial resolution of 0.25{\deg}*0.25{\deg}.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Pengbo Xu , Xiaogu Zheng , Tianyan Gao , Yu Wang , Junping Yin , Juan Zhang , Xuanze Zhang , San Luo , Zhonglei Wang , Zhimin Zhang , Xiaoguang Hu , Xiaoxu Chen

Complex ocean systems such as the Antarctic Circumpolar Current play key roles in the climate, and current models predict shifts in their strength and area under climate change. However, the physical processes underlying these changes are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-19 William Yik , Maike Sonnewald , Mariana C. A. Clare , Redouane Lguensat

Accurate weather forecasts are critical for societal planning and disaster preparedness. Yet these forecasts remain challenging to produce and evaluate, especially in regions with sparse observational coverage. Current evaluation of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Aman Gupta , Aditi Sheshadri , Dhruv Suri

Sea level change, one of the most dire impacts of anthropogenic global warming, will affect a large amount of the world's population. However, sea level change is not uniform in time and space, and the skill of conventional prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Anne Braakmann-Folgmann , Ribana Roscher , Susanne Wenzel , Bernd Uebbing , Jürgen Kusche

A~machine learning framework is developed to estimate ocean-wave conditions. By supervised training of machine learning models on many thousands of iterations of a physics-based wave model, accurate representations of significant wave…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Scott C. James , Yushan Zhang , Fearghal O'Donncha

Reliable dynamic sea level forecasts are hindered by numerous sources of uncertainty on daily-to-seasonal timescales (1-180 days) due to atmospheric boundary conditions and internal ocean variability. Studies have demonstrated that certain…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Andrew Brettin , Laure Zanna , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Aerosol forecasting is essential for air quality warnings, health risk assessment, and climate change mitigation. However, it is more complex than weather forecasting due to the intricate interactions between aerosol physicochemical…

Machine learning models can achieve high predictive accuracy in hydrological applications but often lack physical interpretability. The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) provides a physics-aware artificial intelligence (AI) framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mohammad A. Farmani , Hoshin V. Gupta , Ali Behrangi , Muhammad Jawad , Sadaf Moghisi , Guo-Yue Niu