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Radar-based precipitation nowcasting, the task of forecasting short-term precipitation fields from previous radar images, is a critical problem for flood risk management and decision-making. While deep learning has substantially advanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Bernardo Perrone Ribeiro , Jana Faganeli Pucer

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting is critical for weather-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, transportation, and disaster response. Existing deep learning approaches often struggle to balance global structural consistency…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Penghui Wen , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Na Zhao , Feng Zhang , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

Precipitation nowcasting predicts future radar sequences based on current observations, which is a highly challenging task driven by the inherent complexity of the Earth system. Accurate nowcasting is of utmost importance for addressing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yifang Yin , Shengkai Chen , Yiyao Li , Lu Wang , Ruibing Jin , Wei Cui , Shili Xiang

Flow Matching (FM) has recently emerged as a powerful approach for high-quality visual generation. However, their prohibitively slow inference due to a large number of denoising steps limits their potential use in real-time or interactive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Divya Jyoti Bajpai , Shubham Agarwal , Apoorv Saxena , Kuldeep Kulkarni , Subrata Mitra , Manjesh Kumar Hanawal

Precipitation nowcasting is an important spatio-temporal prediction task to predict the radar echoes sequences based on current observations, which can serve both meteorological science and smart city applications. Due to the chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Demin Yu , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Kuai Dai , Rui Wang , Xunlai Chen

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar echoes plays a crucial role in monitoring extreme weather and supporting disaster prevention. Although deep learning approaches have achieved significant progress, they still face notable limitations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Kaiyi Xu , Junchao Gong , Wenlong Zhang , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Wanli Ouyang

Diffusion models have been widely adopted in image generation, producing higher-quality and more diverse samples than generative adversarial networks (GANs). We introduce a latent diffusion model (LDM) for precipitation nowcasting -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Daniele Nerini , Urs Germann , Gabriele Franch

Earth system forecasting has traditionally relied on complex physical models that are computationally expensive and require significant domain expertise. In the past decade, the unprecedented increase in spatiotemporal Earth observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Zhihan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Boran Han , Hao Wang , Xiaoyong Jin , Danielle Maddix , Yi Zhu , Mu Li , Yuyang Wang

The goal of precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period of time. Very few previous studies have examined this crucial and challenging weather forecasting problem from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Xingjian Shi , Zhourong Chen , Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Wai-kin Wong , Wang-chun Woo

Precipitation nowcasting is critical for disaster mitigation and aviation safety. However, radar-only models frequently suffer from a lack of large-scale atmospheric context, leading to performance degradation at longer lead times. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yuze Qin , Qingyong Li , Zhiqing Guo , Wen Wang , Yan Liu , Yangli-ao Geng

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Accurate forecasting of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or storms is critical for risk management and disaster mitigation. Although high-resolution radar observations have spurred extensive research on nowcasting models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Changhoon Song , Teng Yuan Chang , Youngjoon Hong

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar data plays a crucial role in extreme weather prediction and has broad implications for disaster management. Despite progresses have been made based on deep learning, two key challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Peng Ye , Wanghan Xu , Na Liu , Jianhua Dai , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Henan Wang , Shengwu Xiong , Yifang Zhang , Wenjie Yin , Chen Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Pengfei Duan

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

Designing early warning system for precipitation requires accurate short-term forecasting system. Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events, and hence such systems can prevent disasters and loss of life.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-11 Ajitabh Kumar

Precipitation Nowcasting, which aims to predict precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours, is critical for disaster mitigation and real-time response planning. However, most time series forecasting benchmarks in meteorology are evaluated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Yifang Zhang , Shengwu Xiong , Henan Wang , Wenjie Yin , Jiawang Peng , Yuqiang Zhang , Chen Zhou , Hua Chen , Qile Zhao , Pengfei Duan
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