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Related papers: Yield Curve Forecasting using Machine Learning and…

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A large class of trading strategies focus on opportunities offered by the yield curve. In particular, a set of yield curve trading strategies are based on the view that the yield curve mean-reverts. Based on these strategies' positive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Yash Sharma

Quantitative models are an important decision-making factor for policy makers and investors. Predicting an economic recession with high accuracy and reliability would be very beneficial for the society. This paper assesses machine learning…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Kian Tehranian

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

We develop an arbitrage-free deep learning framework for yield curve and bond price forecasting based on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) term-structure model and a dynamic Nelson-Siegel parameterization of forward rates. Our approach embeds a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

We investigate the effectiveness of different machine learning methodologies in predicting economic cycles. We identify the deep learning methodology of Bi-LSTM with Autoencoder as the most accurate model to forecast the beginning and end…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-26 Zihao Wang , Kun Li , Steve Q. Xia , Hongfu Liu

Computational tools for forecasting yields and prices for fresh produce have been based on traditional machine learning approaches or time series modelling. We propose here an alternate approach based on deep learning algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Mohita Chaudhary , Mohamed Sadok Gastli , Lobna Nassar , Fakhri Karray

This research systematically develops and evaluates various hybrid modeling approaches by combining traditional econometric models (ARIMA and ARFIMA models) with machine learning and deep learning techniques (SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM models)…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Robert Ślepaczuk

Western countries rely heavily on wheat, and yield prediction is crucial. Time-series deep learning models, such as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), have already been explored and applied to yield prediction. Existing literature reported that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-05 Yogesh Bansal , David Lillis , Mohand Tahar Kechadi

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Forecasting crop yields is important for food security, in particular to predict where crop production is likely to drop. Climate records and remotely-sensed data have become instrumental sources of data for crop yield forecasting systems.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-29 Michele Meroni , François Waldner , Lorenzo Seguini , Hervé Kerdiles , Felix Rembold

Weather forecasting benefits us in various ways from farmers in cultivation and harvesting their crops to airlines to schedule their flights. Weather forecasting is a challenging task due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Eranga De Saa , Lochandaka Ranathunga

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in machine learning, as it has a wide range of applications including but not limited to forecasting electricity consumption, traffic, and air quality. Traditional forecasting models rely on rolling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Shereen Elsayed , Daniela Thyssens , Ahmed Rashed , Hadi Samer Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Corn yield prediction is beneficial as it provides valuable information about production and prices prior the harvest. Publicly available high-quality corn yield prediction can help address emergent information asymmetry problems and in…

This systematic review examines how machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have transformed forecasting, decision-making, and financial modelling, promoting innovation and efficiency in financial systems. Following PRISMA 2020…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Soufiane El Amine El Alami , Abderazzak Mouiha , Abdelatif Hafid , Ahmed El Hilali Alaoui

US Yield curve has recently collapsed to its most flattened level since subprime crisis and is close to the inversion. This fact has gathered attention of investors around the world and revived the discussion of proper modeling and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Jarek Duda , Małgorzata Snarska

Effective plant growth and yield prediction is an essential task for greenhouse growers and for agriculture in general. Developing models which can effectively model growth and yield can help growers improve the environmental control for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Bashar Alhnaity , Simon Pearson , Georgios Leontidis , Stefanos Kollias

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Sima Siami-Namini , Neda Tavakoli , Akbar Siami Namin