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This paper develops a general asymptotic theory for nonparametric kernel regression in the presence of cluster dependence. We examine nonparametric density estimation, Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, and local linear estimation. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Yuya Shimizu

Motivated by small bandwidth asymptotics for kernel-based semiparametric estimators in econometrics, this paper establishes Gaussian approximation results for high-dimensional fixed-order $U$-statistics whose kernels depend on the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Shunsuke Imai , Yuta Koike

Bayesian optimisation has gained great popularity as a tool for optimising the parameters of machine learning algorithms and models. Somewhat ironically, setting up the hyper-parameters of Bayesian optimisation methods is notoriously hard.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-01 Ziyu Wang , Nando de Freitas

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

This paper presents uniform-in-time finite-sample bounds for regularized linear regression with vector-valued outputs and conditionally zero-mean subgaussian noise. By revisiting classical self-normalized martingale arguments, we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Léo Simpson , Katrin Baumgärtner , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

We consider the problem of distributedly estimating Gaussian processes in multi-agent frameworks. Each agent collects few measurements and aims to collaboratively reconstruct a common estimate based on all data. Agents are assumed with…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato , Damiano Varagnolo

Analysis of non-asymptotic estimation error and structured statistical recovery based on norm regularized regression, such as Lasso, needs to consider four aspects: the norm, the loss function, the design matrix, and the noise model. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Arindam Banerjee , Sheng Chen , Farideh Fazayeli , Vidyashankar Sivakumar

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

We explore the use of non homogenous noise kernels in Gaussian process modelling to improve the potential energy curve models describing stochastic electronic structure data. We use the same noise kernels on energy curves describing…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-01-02 Fabio E. A. Albertani , Alex J. W. Thom

In this paper we study how the choice of loss functions of non-convex optimization problems affects their robustness and optimization landscape, through the study of noisy matrix sensing. In traditional regression tasks, mean squared error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Xinyuan Song , Ziye Ma

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

In this letter, we address the problem of estimating Gaussian noise level from the trained dictionaries in update stage. We first provide rigorous statistical analysis on the eigenvalue distributions of a sample covariance matrix. Then we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-12-12 Rui Chen , Changshui Yang , Huizhu Jia , Xiaodong Xie

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Regularized kernel methods such as, e.g., support vector machines and least-squares support vector regression constitute an important class of standard learning algorithms in machine learning. Theoretical investigations concerning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-21 Robert Hable

One central theme in machine learning is function estimation from sparse and noisy data. An example is supervised learning where the elements of the training set are couples, each containing an input location and an output response. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Alberto Giaretta , Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

We investigate and compare the fundamental performance of several distributed learning methods that have been proposed recently. We do this in the context of a distributed version of the classical signal-in-Gaussian-white-noise model, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Quantum neural networks (QNNs) play an important role as an emerging technology in the rapidly growing field of quantum machine learning. While their empirical success is evident, the theoretical explorations of QNNs, particularly their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Jiaqi Yang , Wei Xie , Xiaohua Xu