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Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rebecca Farina , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Predictive coding is a message-passing framework initially developed to model information processing in the brain, and now also topic of research in machine learning due to some interesting properties. One of such properties is the natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Billy Byiringiro , Tommaso Salvatori , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Diffusion models demonstrate remarkable capabilities in capturing complex data distributions and have achieved compelling results in many generative tasks. While they have recently been extended to dense prediction tasks such as depth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Haorui Ji , Taojun Lin , Hongdong Li

This paper develops a unified framework for estimating continuous outcomes under multiple treatment levels in observational studies. We integrate the Generalized Propensity Score (GPS), Covariate Balancing Propensity Score (CBPS), and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Byeonghee Lee , Joonsung Kang

We propose self-adaptive training -- a unified training algorithm that dynamically calibrates and enhances training processes by model predictions without incurring an extra computational cost -- to advance both supervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

Deep neural networks are capable of training fast and generalizing well within many domains. Despite their promising performance, deep networks have shown sensitivities to perturbations of their inputs (e.g., adversarial examples) and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Justin Goodwin , Olivia Brown , Victoria Helus

Learning stochastic functions from partially observed context-target pairs requires models that are expressive, uncertainty-aware, and strongly conditioned on inputs. Neural Diffusion Processes (NDPs) improve expressivity with denoising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Jian Xu , Yican Liu , Delu Zeng , John Paisley , Qibin Zhao

Cross-modal learning has become a fundamental paradigm for integrating heterogeneous information sources such as images, text, and structured attributes. However, multimodal representations often suffer from modality dominance, redundant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Xuecheng Li , Weikuan Jia , Alisher Kurbonaliev , Qurbonaliev Alisher , Khudzhamkulov Rustam , Ismoilov Shuhratjon , Eshmatov Javhariddin , Yuanjie Zheng

Leveraging deep learning for causal discovery in time series remains challenging because existing neural methods predominantly rely on component-wise architectures that fail to capture shared system dynamics or employ decoupled post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Omar Muhammad , Pasupuleti Dhruv Shivkant , Deepak N. Subramani

Existing identification results in proximal causal inference often focus on marginal interventional distributions using standard outcome or treatment bridge functions. These methods do not generally identify joint interventional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Constantin Schott

Test-time prompt tuning for vision-language models has demonstrated impressive generalization capabilities under zero-shot settings. However, tuning the learnable prompts solely based on unlabeled test data may induce prompt optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Fei Song , Yi Li , Rui Wang , Jiahuan Zhou , Changwen Zheng , Jiangmeng Li

In many scientific domains, including experimentation, researchers rely on measurements of proxy outcomes to achieve faster and more frequent reads, especially when the primary outcome of interest is challenging to measure directly. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Alexandra N. M. Darmon , Deeksha Sinha

The partitioning of data for estimation and calibration critically impacts the performance of propensity score based estimators like inverse probability weighting (IPW) and double/debiased machine learning (DML) frameworks. We extend recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Sven Klaassen , Jan Rabenseifner , Jannis Kueck , Philipp Bach

Deep neural networks excel at comprehending complex visual signals, delivering on par or even superior performance to that of human experts. However, ad-hoc visual explanations of model decisions often reveal an alarming level of reliance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-03 Dong Wang , Yuewei Yang , Chenyang Tao , Zhe Gan , Liqun Chen , Fanjie Kong , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin

This paper considers the evaluation of discretely distributed treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or outcome attrition. For identification, we combine a selection-on-observables assumption…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Michela Bia , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

Doubly robust estimators with cross-fitting have gained popularity in causal inference due to their favorable structure-agnostic error guarantees. However, when additional structure, such as H\"{o}lder smoothness, is available then more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Alec McClean , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Edward H. Kennedy , Larry Wasserman

A decision-maker must consider cofounding bias when attempting to apply machine learning prediction, and, while feature selection is widely recognized as important process in data-analysis, it could cause cofounding bias. A causal Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Akihiro Yabe

This article proposes doubly robust estimators for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in difference-in-differences (DID) research designs. In contrast to alternative DID estimators, the proposed estimators are consistent if…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Jun B. Zhao

Deep learning has shown successful application in visual recognition and certain artificial intelligence tasks. Deep learning is also considered as a powerful tool with high flexibility to approximate functions. In the present work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Ayan Chakraborty , Thomas Wick , Xiaoying Zhuang , Timon Rabczuk
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