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Related papers: Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration

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We study \emph{online multicalibration}, a framework for ensuring calibrated predictions across multiple groups in adversarial settings, across $T$ rounds. Although online calibration is typically studied in the $\ell_1$ norm, prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Rohan Ghuge , Vidya Muthukumar , Sahil Singla

We study unconstrained Online Linear Optimization with Lipschitz losses. Motivated by the pursuit of instance optimality, we propose a new algorithm that simultaneously achieves ($i$) the AdaGrad-style second order gradient adaptivity; and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Zhiyu Zhang , Heng Yang , Ashok Cutkosky , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We give a randomized online algorithm that guarantees near-optimal $\widetilde O(\sqrt T)$ expected swap regret against any sequence of $T$ adaptively chosen Lipschitz convex losses on the unit interval. This improves the previous best…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Lunjia Hu , Jon Schneider , Yifan Wu

We prove tight lower bounds for online multicalibration, establishing an information-theoretic separation from marginal calibration. In the general setting where group functions can depend on both context and the learner's predictions, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Natalie Collina , Jiuyao Lu , Georgy Noarov , Aaron Roth

Online influence maximization aims to maximize the influence spread of a content in a social network with unknown network model by selecting a few seed nodes. Recent studies followed a non-adaptive setting, where the seed nodes are selected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Kaixuan Huang , Yu Wu , Xuezhou Zhang , Shenyinying Tu , Qingyun Wu , Mengdi Wang , Huazheng Wang

One of the main strengths of online algorithms is their ability to adapt to arbitrary data sequences. This is especially important in nonparametric settings, where performance is measured against rich classes of comparator functions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Ilja Kuzborskij , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

Making calibrated online predictions is a central challenge in modern AI systems. Much of the existing literature focuses on fully adversarial environments where outcomes may be arbitrary, leading to conservative algorithms that can perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Junyan Liu , Haipeng Luo , Lillian J. Ratliff

Most methods for decision-theoretic online learning are based on the Hedge algorithm, which takes a parameter called the learning rate. In most previous analyses the learning rate was carefully tuned to obtain optimal worst-case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-04 Tim van Erven , Peter Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen , Steven de Rooij

We develop a new reduction that converts any online convex optimization algorithm suffering $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret into an $\epsilon$-differentially private stochastic convex optimization algorithm with the optimal convergence rate $\tilde…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Qinzi Zhang , Hoang Tran , Ashok Cutkosky

We provide a new adaptive method for online convex optimization, MetaGrad, that is robust to general convex losses but achieves faster rates for a broad class of special functions, including exp-concave and strongly convex functions, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Tim van Erven , Wouter M. Koolen , Dirk van der Hoeven

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiashuo Jiang

We study online learning in adversarial nonstationary environments. Since the future can be very different from the past, a critical challenge is to gracefully forget the history while new data comes in. To formalize this intuition, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Zhiyu Zhang , David Bombara , Heng Yang

We present methods for online linear optimization that take advantage of benign (as opposed to worst-case) sequences. Specifically if the sequence encountered by the learner is described well by a known "predictable process", the algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-27 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We study the minimax sample complexity of multicalibration in the batch setting. A learner observes $n$ i.i.d. samples from an unknown distribution and must output a (possibly randomized) predictor whose population multicalibration error,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Natalie Collina , Jiuyao Lu , Georgy Noarov , Aaron Roth

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Piao Hu , Jiashuo Jiang , Guodong Lyu , Hao Su

We aim to design adaptive online learning algorithms that take advantage of any special structure that might be present in the learning task at hand, with as little manual tuning by the user as possible. A fundamental obstacle that comes up…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Zakaria Mhammedi , Wouter M. Koolen , Tim van Erven

We consider the problem of online combinatorial optimization under semi-bandit feedback, where a learner has to repeatedly pick actions from a combinatorial decision set in order to minimize the total losses associated with its decisions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Gergely Neu

The classical algorithms for online learning and decision-making have the benefit of achieving the optimal performance guarantees, but suffer from computational complexity limitations when implemented at scale. More recent sophisticated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Guanghui Wang , Zihao Hu , Vidya Muthukumar , Jacob Abernethy

We introduce algorithms for online, full-information prediction that are competitive with contextual tree experts of unknown complexity, in both probabilistic and adversarial settings. We show that by incorporating a probabilistic framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Vidya Muthukumar , Mitas Ray , Anant Sahai , Peter L. Bartlett

In online convex optimization it is well known that certain subclasses of objective functions are much easier than arbitrary convex functions. We are interested in designing adaptive methods that can automatically get fast rates in as many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Tim van Erven , Wouter M. Koolen
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