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The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

The incredible success of transformers on sequence modeling tasks can be largely attributed to the self-attention mechanism, which allows information to be transferred between different parts of a sequence. Self-attention allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Eshaan Nichani , Alex Damian , Jason D. Lee

Deep learning models for meteorological forecasting often fail in rare but high-impact events such as typhoons, where relevant data is scarce. Existing fine-tuning methods typically face a trade-off between overlooking these extreme events…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Ziheng Peng , Haifan Zhang , Peisong Niu , Bo Wu , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun , Jirong Wen

Nowadays, industrial hybrid modeling which integrates both mechanistic modeling and machine learning-based modeling techniques has attracted increasing interest from scholars due to its high accuracy, low computational cost, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Haoran Yang , Yinan Zhang , Wenjie Zhang , Dongxia Wang , Peiyu Liu , Yuqi Ye , Kexin Chen , Wenhai Wang

The safe and stable operation of power systems is greatly challenged by the high variability and randomness of wind power in large-scale wind-power-integrated grids. Wind power forecasting is an effective solution to tackle this issue, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Hao Liu , Huimin Ma , Tianyu Hu

Accurate subgrid-scale closures are essential for weather/climate models, where predicting extreme events is critical. Traditional closures have structural errors, e.g., producing excessive diffusion that dampens extremes. Artificial…

Traffic flow forecasting on graphs has real-world applications in many fields, such as transportation system and computer networks. Traffic forecasting can be highly challenging due to complex spatial-temporal correlations and non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Aosong Feng , Leandros Tassiulas

Accurate multi-vehicle trajectory prediction in expressway merge and diverge areas is fundamental to the decision-making frameworks of autonomous vehicle systems. However, the majority of existing graph-based prediction models are developed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Eni Solomon Laughter

Graph Transformers (GTs) have demonstrated their advantages across a wide range of tasks. However, the self-attention mechanism in GTs overlooks the graph's inductive biases, particularly biases related to structure, which are crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Chuang Liu , Zelin Yao , Yibing Zhan , Xueqi Ma , Shirui Pan , Wenbin Hu

Evaluating anomaly detection algorithms in time series data is critical as inaccuracies can lead to flawed decision-making in various domains where real-time analytics and data-driven strategies are essential. Traditional performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Ramin Ghorbani , Marcel J. T. Reinders , David M. J. Tax

Extreme weather events, such as severe storms, hurricanes, snowstorms, and ice storms, which are exacerbated by climate change, frequently cause widespread power outages. These outages halt industrial operations, impact communities, damage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xuyang Shen , Zijie Pan , Diego Cerrai , Xinxuan Zhang , Christopher Colorio , Emmanouil N. Anagnostou , Dongjin Song

Incremental learning aims to adapt to new sets of categories over time with minimal computational overhead. Prior work often addresses this task by training efficient task-specific adaptors that modify frozen layer weights or features to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Nazia Tasnim , Bryan A. Plummer

Prompt learning has attracted increasing attention in the graph domain as a means to bridge the gap between pretext and downstream tasks. Existing studies on heterogeneous graph prompting typically use feature prompts to modify node…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Feiyang Wang , Zhongbao Zhang , Junda Ye , Li Sun , Jianzhong Qi

Mobile network operators must monitor thousands of heterogeneous network elements across the radio access network and the packet core, each exposing high-dimensional KPI time series. The scale and cost of incident labelling make supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Sara Malacarne , Eirik Hoel-Høiseth , Erlend Aune , David Zsolt Biró , Massimiliano Ruocco

Global climate models (GCMs) are the main tools for understanding and predicting climate change. However, due to limited numerical resolutions, these models suffer from major structural uncertainties; e.g., they cannot resolve critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Rambod Mojgani , Daniel Waelchli , Yifei Guan , Petros Koumoutsakos , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Accurate forecasting of energy demand and supply is critical for optimizing sustainable energy systems, yet it is challenged by the variability of renewable sources and dynamic consumption patterns. This paper introduces a neural framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Usman Gani Joy

One measurement modality for rainfall is a fixed location rain gauge. However, extreme rainfall, flooding, and other climate extremes often occur at larger spatial scales and affect more than one location in a community. For example, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Carlynn Fagnant , Julia C. Schedler , Katherine B. Ensor

In this paper, we introduce \texttt{IAFormer}, a novel Transformer-based architecture that efficiently integrates pairwise particle interactions through a dynamic sparse attention mechanism. \texttt{IAFormer} has two new mechanisms within…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-21 W. Esmail , A. Hammad , M. Nojiri

Transformer-based models have recently shown success in representation learning on graph-structured data beyond natural language processing and computer vision. However, the success is limited to small-scale graphs due to the drawbacks of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jinyoung Park , Seongjun Yun , Hyeonjin Park , Jaewoo Kang , Jisu Jeong , Kyung-Min Kim , Jung-woo Ha , Hyunwoo J. Kim

Time series forecasting is crucial for applications across multiple domains and various scenarios. Although Transformer models have dramatically advanced the landscape of forecasting, their effectiveness remains debated. Recent findings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Dongbin Kim , Jinseong Park , Jaewook Lee , Hoki Kim