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The paper presents a Gaussian/kernel process regression method for real-time state estimation and forecasting of phase angle and angular speed in systems with a high penetration of solar generation units, operating under a sparse…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Mohammad Ensaf , Masoud Barati

Atom interferometry generates heterogeneous multivariate temporal streams governed by phase evolution, fringe dynamics, control variables, and auxiliary sensing measurements. Accurate forecasting of these signals is important for predictive…

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Inspired by the concept of relativity of simultaneity used in the theory of special relativity, a new approach is proposed to simulate future solar wind conditions at any point in the inner solar system. An important distinctive feature of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Igor V. Sokolov , Tamas I. Gombosi

The output of solar power generation is significantly dependent on the available solar radiation. Thus, with the proliferation of PV generation in the modern power grid, forecasting of solar irradiance is vital for proper operation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-05 Kwasi Opoku , Svetlana Lucemo , Qun Zhou Sun , Aleksandar Dimitrovski

Demonstrating quantum advantage has been a pressing challenge in the field. Most claimed quantum speedups rely on a subroutine in which classical information can be accessed in a coherent quantum manner, which imposes a crucial constraint…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Nhat A. Nghiem

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods shed light on the predictions of machine learning algorithms. Several different approaches exist and have already been applied in climate science. However, usually missing ground truth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Philine Bommer , Marlene Kretschmer , Anna Hedström , Dilyara Bareeva , Marina M. -C. Höhne

Quantum circuit Born machines are generative models which represent the probability distribution of classical dataset as quantum pure states. Computational complexity considerations of the quantum sampling problem suggest that the quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-12-21 Jin-Guo Liu , Lei Wang

Time series forecasting is foundational in scientific and technological domains, from climate modelling to molecular dynamics. Classical approaches have significantly advanced sequential prediction, including autoregressive models and deep…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Mostafizur Rahaman Laskar , Richa Goel

In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Maarten Bieshaar , Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

We introduce a quantum-informed machine learning (QIML) framework for modelling the long-term behaviour of high-dimensional chaotic systems. QIML combines a one-time, offline-trained quantum generative model with a classical autoregressive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-27 Maida Wang , Xiao Xue , Mingyang Gao , Peter V. Coveney

Data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models have made significant advancements in weather forecasting, particularly in medium-range and nowcasting. However, most data-driven weather forecasting models are black-box systems that focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Wanghan Xu , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Tao Han , Hao Chen , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

We introduce a distributed quantum-classical framework that synergizes photonic quantum neural networks (QNNs) with matrix-product-state (MPS) mapping to achieve parameter-efficient training of classical neural networks. By leveraging…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-14 Kuan-Cheng Chen , Chen-Yu Liu , Yu Shang , Felix Burt , Kin K. Leung

We propose Multivariate Quantile Function Forecaster (MQF$^2$), a global probabilistic forecasting method constructed using a multivariate quantile function and investigate its application to multi-horizon forecasting. Prior approaches are…

The conditional generative adversarial rainfall model "cGAN" developed for the UK \cite{Harris22} was trained to post-process into an ensemble and downscale ERA5 rainfall to 1km resolution over three regions of the USA and the UK. Relative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-28 Fenwick C. Cooper , Andrew T. T. McRae , Matthew Chantry , Bobby Antonio , Tim N. Palmer

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

Wind power forecasting plays a critical role in modern energy systems, facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. Accurate prediction of wind energy output is essential for managing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Ali Forootani , Danial Esmaeili Aliabadi , Daniela Thraen

Accurate prediction of atmospheric optical turbulence in localized environments is essential for estimating the performance of free-space optical systems. Macro-meteorological models developed to predict turbulent effects in one environment…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-30 Christopher Jellen , Charles Nelson , John Burkhardt , Cody Brownell

The world is moving towards clean and renewable energy sources, such as wind energy, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. To enhance the analysis and storage of wind data, we introduce a deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Despite the advances in the field of solar energy, improvements of solar forecasting techniques, addressing the intermittent electricity production, remain essential for securing its future integration into a wider energy supply. A…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby
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