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A systematic, comparative investigation into the effects of low-quality data reveals a stark spectrum of robustness across modern probabilistic models. We find that autoregressive language models, from token prediction to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Liu Peng , Yaochu Jin

Many proposals for quantum information processing are subject to detectable loss errors. In this paper, we show that topological error correcting codes, which protect against computational errors, are also extremely robust against losses.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Thomas M. Stace , Sean D. Barrett , Andrew C. Doherty

Within the scaling laws paradigm, which underpins the training of large neural networks like ChatGPT and Llama, we consider a supervised regression setting and establish the existance of a strong form of the model collapse phenomenon, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Elvis Dohmatob , Yunzhen Feng , Arjun Subramonian , Julia Kempe

For large nonlinear least squares loss functions in machine learning we exploit the property that the number of model parameters typically exceeds the data in one batch. This implies a low-rank structure in the Hessian of the loss, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Johannes J. Brust

The prevailing assumption of an exponential decay in large language model (LLM) reliability with sequence length, predicated on independent per-token error probabilities, posits an inherent limitation for long autoregressive outputs. Our…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Mikhail L. Arbuzov , Sisong Bei , Ziwei Dong , Dmitri Kalaev , Alexey A. Shvets

In 2020, OpenAI proposed the first type of Scaling Laws, describing the relationships between model loss and the scale of parameters, data, and training computation. In 2024, OpenAI proposed the second type of Scaling Laws, describing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jun Wan

How close are neural networks to the best they could possibly do? Standard benchmarks cannot answer this because they lack access to the true posterior p(y|x). We use class-conditional normalizing flows as oracles that make exact posteriors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Arian Khorasani , Nathaniel Chen , Yug D Oswal , Akshat Santhana Gopalan , Egemen Kolemen , Ravid Shwartz-Ziv

Large Language Models (LLMs) perform internal computations in continuous vector spaces yet produce discrete tokens -- a fundamental mismatch whose geometric consequences remain poorly understood. We develop a mathematical framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Mohamed A. Mabrok

Hyperparameter transfer has become an important component of modern large-scale training recipes. Existing methods, such as muP, primarily focus on transfer between model sizes, with transfer across batch sizes and training horizons often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Egor Shulgin , Dimitri von Rütte , Tianyue H. Zhang , Niccolò Ajroldi , Bernhard Schölkopf , Antonio Orvieto

Neural scaling laws relate loss to model size in large language models (LLMs), yet depth and width may contribute to performance differently, requiring more detailed studies. Here, we quantify how depth affects loss via analysis of LLMs and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Yizhou Liu , Sara Kangaslahti , Ziming Liu , Jeff Gore

We develop a solvable model of neural scaling laws beyond the kernel limit. Theoretical analysis of this model shows how performance scales with model size, training time, and the total amount of available data. We identify three scaling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Blake Bordelon , Alexander Atanasov , Cengiz Pehlevan

Large language models are trained with tokenizers, and the resulting token distribution is highly imbalanced: a few words dominate the stream while most occur rarely. Recent practice favors ever-larger vocabularies, but it is unclear where…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Woojin Chung , Jeonghoon Kim

Pruning has become a widely adopted technique for reducing the hardware requirements of large language models (LLMs). To recover model performance after pruning, post-training is commonly employed to mitigate the resulting performance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Xiaodong Chen , Yuxuan Hu , Xiaokang Zhang , Yanling Wang , Cuiping Li , Hong Chen , Jing Zhang

What scaling limits govern neural network training dynamics when model size and training time grow in tandem? We show that despite the complex interactions between architecture, training algorithms, and data, compute-optimally trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Shikai Qiu , Lechao Xiao , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Jeffrey Pennington , Atish Agarwala

We introduce a cutting-plane framework for nonconvex quadratic programs (QPs) that progressively tightens convex relaxations. Our approach leverages the doubly nonnegative (DNN) relaxation to compute strong lower bounds and generate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Zheng Qu , Defeng Sun , Jintao Xu

Generalization abilities of well-trained large language models (LLMs) are known to scale predictably as a function of model size. In contrast to the existence of practical scaling laws governing pre-training, the quality of LLMs after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Zifei Xu , Alexander Lan , Wanzin Yazar , Tristan Webb , Sayeh Sharify , Xin Wang

The scaling exponent $\alpha$ in neural scaling laws $L(N) \propto N^{-\alpha}$ is commonly treated as a fixed constant set by architecture and data. We present evidence that $\alpha$ depends systematically on the optimizer. In controlled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Vansh Ramani , Shourya Vir Jain

Recent theories suggest that Neural Scaling Laws arise whenever the task is linearly decomposed into power-law distributed units. Alternatively, scaling laws also emerge when data exhibit a hierarchically compositional structure, as is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Francesco Cagnetta , Hyunmo Kang , Matthieu Wyart

We introduce a scaling law for fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) under fixed compute budgets that explicitly accounts for data composition. Conventional approaches measure training data solely by total tokens, yet the number of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Ryan Lagasse , Aidan Kierans , Avijit Ghosh , Shiri Dori-Hacohen

Conformal prediction is a popular framework of uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees. To uphold the exchangeability assumption, many conformal prediction methods necessitate an additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Hao Zeng , Kangdao Liu , Bingyi Jing , Hongxin Wei