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Flow matching has emerged as a simulation-free alternative to diffusion-based generative modeling, producing samples by solving an ODE whose time-dependent velocity field is learned along an interpolation between a simple source…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-10 Shivam Kumar , Yixin Wang , Lizhen Lin

Large language models confidently produce outdated answers, and no existing method can detect them. We show this is not an engineering failure but a structural one: temporal drift, whether a stored fact has changed since training, is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Rania Elbadry , Ahmed Heakl , Fan Zhang , Dani Bouch , Yuxia Wang , Preslav Nakov , Zhuohan Xie

Time-varying optimization problems are central to many engineering applications, where performance metrics and system constraints evolve dynamically with time. Several algorithms have been proposed to address these problems; a common…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Gianluca Bianchin , Bryan Van Scoy

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Flow models have rapidly become the go-to method for training and deploying large-scale generators, owing their success to inference-time flexibility via adjustable integration steps. A crucial ingredient in flow training is the choice of…

Allocating extra computation at inference time has recently improved sample quality in large language models and diffusion-based image generation. In parallel, Flow Matching (FM) has gained traction in language, vision, and scientific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Adam Stecklov , Noah El Rimawi-Fine , Mathieu Blanchette

Timestep sampling $p(t)$ is a central design choice in Flow Matching models, yet common practice increasingly favors static middle-biased distributions (e.g., Logit-Normal). We show that this choice induces a speed--quality trade-off:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Pengwei Sun

Flow matching has emerged as a powerful framework for generative modeling, with recent empirical successes highlighting the effectiveness of signal-space prediction ($x$-prediction). In this work, we investigate the transfer of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Jiadong Hong , Lei Liu , Xinyu Bian , Wenjie Wang , Zhaoyang Zhang

This paper studies the training-testing discrepancy (a.k.a. exposure bias) problem for improving the diffusion models. During training, the input of a prediction network at one training timestep is the corresponding ground-truth noisy data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Hui Li , Jiayue Lyu , Fu-Yun Wang , Kaihui Cheng , Siyu Zhu , Jingdong Wang

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee

This paper proposes a method for modeling event sequences with ambiguous timestamps, a time-discounting convolution. Unlike in ordinary time series, time intervals are not constant, small time-shifts have no significant effect, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Takayuki Katsuki , Takayuki Osogami , Akira Koseki , Masaki Ono , Michiharu Kudo , Masaki Makino , Atsushi Suzuki

Time-unconditional generative models learn time-independent denoising vector fields. But without time conditioning, the same noisy input may correspond to multiple noise levels and different denoising directions, which interferes with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Zimo Wang , Ishit Mehta , Haolin Lu , Chung-En Sun , Ge Yan , Tsui-Wei Weng , Tzu-Mao Li

Modeling continuous-time dynamics from sparse and irregularly-sampled time series remains a fundamental challenge. Neural controlled differential equations provide a principled framework for such tasks, yet their performance is highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Simulation-free methods for training continuous-time generative models construct probability paths that go between noise distributions and individual data samples. Recent works, such as Flow Matching, derived paths that are optimal for each…

Modern deep generative models can now produce high-quality synthetic samples that are often indistinguishable from real training data. A growing body of research aims to understand why recent methods, such as diffusion and flow matching…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Quentin Bertrand , Anne Gagneux , Mathurin Massias , Rémi Emonet

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful alternative to diffusion models, providing a continuous-time formulation for generative modeling and representation learning. Yet, we show that this framework suffers from a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Weili Zeng , Yichao Yan

We propose Flow Mismatching, an unsupervised anomaly detection method that deliberately avoids reconstruction-based paradigms. Instead, we treat flow matching as geometric dynamics and leverage a key insight: anomalies occur at places where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Shengzhe Chen , Mehrdad Moradi , Kamran Paynabar , Hao Yan

Time series prediction underpins a broad range of downstream tasks across many scientific domains. Recent advances and increasing adoption of black-box machine learning models for time series prediction highlight the critical need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Safety-critical navigation applications require that estimation errors be reliably quantified and bounded. This can be challenging for linear dynamic systems if the process noise or measurement errors have uncertain time correlation. In…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-22 Omar Garcia Crespillo , Mathieu Joerger , Steve Langel
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