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We propose an algorithm for nonparametric online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and the tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Anna Markovich , Nikita Puchkin

This paper presents DRE-CUSUM, an unsupervised density-ratio estimation (DRE) based approach to determine statistical changes in time-series data when no knowledge of the pre-and post-change distributions are available. The core idea behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

Proteins are made of atoms constantly fluctuating, but can occasionally undergo large-scale changes. Such transitions are of biological interest, linking the structure of a protein to its function with a cell. Atomic-level simulations, such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Amélie Chatelain , Elena Tommasone , Laurent Daudet , Iacopo Poli

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

We consider the online monitoring of multivariate streaming data for changes that are characterized by an unknown subspace structure manifested in the covariance matrix. In particular, we consider the covariance structure changes from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , George V. Moustakides

This article introduces the sequential Kalman filter, a computationally scalable approach for online changepoint detection with temporally correlated data. The temporal correlation was not considered in the Bayesian online changepoint…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Hanmo Li , Yuedong Wang , Mengyang Gu

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

The development of the manufacturing systems has made it increasingly necessary to monitor the data generated by multiple interconnected subsystems with rapid incoming of samples. Based on incremental Singular Value Decomposition (ISVD), we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Xinmiao Luan , Qing Zou , Jian Li , Andi Wang

Online parameter identification is of importance, e.g., for model predictive control. Since the parameters have to be identified simultaneously to the process of the modeled system, dynamical update laws are used for state and parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Romana Boiger , Barbara Kaltenbacher

The scope of this research is the identification of unknown piecewise constant parameters of linear regression equation under the finite excitation condition. Compared to the known methods, to make the computational burden lower, only one…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We present an approach for the detection of sharp change points (short-lived and persistent) in nonlinear and nonstationary dynamic systems under high levels of noise by tracking the local phase and amplitude synchronization among the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-08-04 Ashif Sikandar Iquebal , Satish Bukkapatnam , Arun Srinivasa

Change point detection algorithms have numerous applications in fields of scientific and economic importance. We consider the problem of change point detection on compositional multivariate data (each sample is a probability mass function),…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-16 Prabuchandran K. J. , Nitin Singh , Pankaj Dayama , Vinayaka Pandit

We present a challenging dataset, ChangeSim, aimed at online scene change detection (SCD) and more. The data is collected in photo-realistic simulation environments with the presence of environmental non-targeted variations, such as air…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Jin-Man Park , Jae-Hyuk Jang , Sahng-Min Yoo , Sun-Kyung Lee , Ue-Hwan Kim , Jong-Hwan Kim

The aim of online change-point detection is for a accurate, timely discovery of structural breaks. As data dimension outgrows the number of data in observation, online detection becomes challenging. Existing methods typically test only the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

In the regime of change-point detection, a nonparametric framework based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing similarities among observations is gaining attention due to its flexibility and good performances for high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

Change point detection has become an important part of the analysis of the single-particle tracking data, as it allows one to identify moments, in which the motion patterns of observed particles undergo significant changes. The segmentation…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-23 Jakub Malinowski , Marcin Kostrzewa , Michał Balcerek , Weronika Tomczuk , Janusz Szwabiński

In a sequence of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data objects, such as networks, local dependence is common and could lead to false change-point discoveries. We propose a new way of permutation -- circular block permutation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Hao Chen

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Online changepoint detection aims to detect anomalies and changes in real-time in high-frequency data streams, sometimes with limited available computational resources. This is an important task that is rooted in many real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-12 Gaetano Romano , Idris A Eckley , Paul Fearnhead
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