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Modern generative models for limit order books (LOBs) can reproduce realistic market dynamics, but remain fundamentally passive: they either model what typically happens without accounting for hypothetical future market conditions, or they…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-04 Zhuohan Wang , Carmine Ventre

Deep generative models, while revolutionizing fields like image and text generation, largely operate as opaque ``black boxes'', hindering human understanding, control, and alignment. While methods like sparse autoencoders (SAEs) show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Lingjing Kong , Shaoan Xie , Guangyi Chen , Yuewen Sun , Xiangchen Song , Eric P. Xing , Kun Zhang

Sampling from the conditional (or posterior) probability distribution of the latent states of a Hidden Markov Model, given the realization of the observed process, is a non-trivial problem in the context of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. To do…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Sumeetpal S. Singh , Fredrik Lindsten , Eric Moulines

In order to satisfy safety conditions, an agent may be constrained from acting freely. A safe controller can be designed a priori if an environment is well understood, but not when learning is employed. In particular, reinforcement learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Eleanor Quint , Dong Xu , Samuel Flint , Stephen Scott , Matthew Dwyer

We marry ideas from deep neural networks and approximate Bayesian inference to derive a generalised class of deep, directed generative models, endowed with a new algorithm for scalable inference and learning. Our algorithm introduces a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-02 Danilo Jimenez Rezende , Shakir Mohamed , Daan Wierstra

This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Steve Hanneke

Matrix product operators allow efficient descriptions (or realizations) of states on a 1D lattice. We consider the task of learning a realization of minimal dimension from copies of an unknown state, such that the resulting operator is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-07 Marco Fanizza , Niklas Galke , Josep Lumbreras , Cambyse Rouzé , Andreas Winter

Graphs are ubiquitous data structures for representing interactions between entities. With an emphasis on the use of graphs to represent chemical molecules, we explore the task of learning to generate graphs that conform to a distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-08 Qi Liu , Miltiadis Allamanis , Marc Brockschmidt , Alexander L. Gaunt

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

We study the joint occurrence of large values of a Markov random field or undirected graphical model associated to a block graph. On such graphs, containing trees as special cases, we aim to generalize recent results for extremes of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Stefka Asenova , Johan Segers

Hard constraints in generative sampling are typically enforced by projection, applied either once at the end of sampling or after every update. This binary framing overlooks a fundamental issue: projection changes the distribution of states…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Noah Trupin , Yexiang Xue

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

The maximization of reach-avoid probabilities for stochastic systems is a central topic in the control literature. Yet, the available methods are either restricted to low-dimensional systems or suffer from conservative approximations. To…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Niklas Schmid , Jaeyoun Choi , Oswin So , Chuchu Fan

Sequence prediction methods for dynamical systems with long memory, i.e. marginally stable systems, typically achieve regret that grows polynomially with the hidden dimension of the underlying generative model. Universal Sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Annie Marsden , Elad Hazan

Matching pursuit, especially its orthogonal version (OMP) and variations, is a greedy algorithm widely used in signal processing, compressed sensing, and sparse modeling. Inspired by constrained sparse signal recovery, this paper proposes a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Jinglai Shen , Seyedahmad Mousavi

Recurrent neural networks are used to forecast time series in finance, climate, language, and from many other domains. Reservoir computers are a particularly easily trainable form of recurrent neural network. Recently, a "next-generation"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Sarah E. Marzen , Paul M. Riechers , James P. Crutchfield

The celebrated sparse representation model has led to remarkable results in various signal processing tasks in the last decade. However, despite its initial purpose of serving as a global prior for entire signals, it has been commonly used…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Vardan Papyan , Jeremias Sulam , Michael Elad

Sequence generation models are commonly refined with reinforcement learning over user-defined metrics. However, high gradient variance hinders the practical use of this method. To stabilize this method, we adapt to contextual generation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Xinjie Fan , Yizhe Zhang , Zhendong Wang , Mingyuan Zhou

We study here constraint satisfaction problems that are based on predefined, explicitly given finite constraints. To solve them we propose a notion of rule consistency that can be expressed in terms of rules derived from the explicit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Krzysztof R. Apt , Eric Monfroy

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu