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We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

Simulations of crystal growth are performed by using Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network surrogate models, trained on a dataset of time sequences computed by numerical integration of Allen-Cahn dynamics including faceting via kinetic…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-24 Matteo Rigoni , Daniele Lanzoni , Francesco Montalenti , Roberto Bergamaschini

Ordered sequences of univariate or multivariate regressions provide statistical models for analysing data from randomized, possibly sequential interventions, from cohort or multi-wave panel studies, but also from cross-sectional or…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Nanny Wermuth , Kayvan Sadeghi

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

Markov chains are a convenient means of generating realizations of networks, since they require little more than a procedure for rewiring edges. If a rewiring procedure exists for generating new graphs with specified statistical properties,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-17 Jaideep Ray , Ali Pinar , C. Seshadhri

Autoregressive models enable tractable sampling from learned probability distributions, but their performance critically depends on the variable ordering used in the factorization via complexities of the resulting conditional distributions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Shiba Biswal , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Zhe Wang , Jiaxin Shi , Nicolas Heess , Arthur Gretton , Michalis K. Titsias

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Higher-order Markov chains are frequently used to model categorical time series. However, a major problem with fitting such models is the exponentially growing number of parameters in the model order. A popular approach to parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Tuhin Majumder , Soumendra Lahiri , Donald Martin

Optimization under structural constraints is typically analyzed through projection or penalty methods, obscuring the geometric mechanism by which constraints shape admissible dynamics. We propose an operator-theoretic formulation in which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Changkai Li

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

It was recently established that for convex optimization problems with sparse optimal solutions (be it entry-wise sparsity or matrix rank-wise sparsity) it is possible to design first-order methods with linear convergence rates that depend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Dan Garber

Constrained Markov processes, such as reflecting diffusions, behave as an unconstrained process in the interior of a domain but upon reaching the boundary are controlled in some way so that they do not leave the closure of the domain. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Cristina Costantini , Thomas G. Kurtz

Despite recent advances, goal-directed generation of structured discrete data remains challenging. For problems such as program synthesis (generating source code) and materials design (generating molecules), finding examples which satisfy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Amina Mollaysa , Brooks Paige , Alexandros Kalousis

Datasets displaying temporal dependencies abound in science and engineering applications, with Markov models representing a simplified and popular view of the temporal dependence structure. In this paper, we consider Bayesian settings that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

This work introduces a notion of approximate probabilistic trace equivalence for labelled Markov chains, and relates this new concept to the known notion of approximate probabilistic bisimulation. In particular this work shows that the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-04-28 Gaoang Bian , Alessandro Abate

Constraints can be interpreted in a broad sense as any kind of explicit restriction over the parameters. While some constraints are defined directly on the parameter space, when they are instead defined by known behaviour on the model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Shirin Golchi , David A. Campbell

We introduce Generator Matching, a modality-agnostic framework for generative modeling using arbitrary Markov processes. Generators characterize the infinitesimal evolution of a Markov process, which we leverage for generative modeling in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Peter Holderrieth , Marton Havasi , Jason Yim , Neta Shaul , Itai Gat , Tommi Jaakkola , Brian Karrer , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Yaron Lipman
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