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Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

We propose a variance reduction framework for variational inference using the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method. Our framework is built on reparameterized gradient estimators and "recycles" parameters obtained from past update history in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Masahiro Fujisawa , Issei Sato

A method for correcting smearing effects using machine learning technique is presented. Compared to the standard deconvolution approaches in high energy particle physics, the method can use more than one reconstructed variable to predict…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-30 Bora Işıldak , Alper Hayreter , Aidan R. Wiederhold

In this paper, we consider a Monte Carlo simulation method (MinMC) that approximates prices and risk measures for a range $\Gamma$ of model parameters at once. The simulation method that we study has recently gained popularity [HS20, FPP22,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Nils Detering , Nicole Hufnagel , Paul Krühner

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

This paper studies the use of a machine learning-based estimator as a control variate for mitigating the variance of Monte Carlo sampling. Specifically, we seek to uncover the key factors that influence the efficiency of control variates in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-29 Jose Blanchet , Haoxuan Chen , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying

High-dimensional statistical inference deals with models in which the the number of parameters p is comparable to or larger than the sample size n. Since it is usually impossible to obtain consistent procedures unless $p/n\rightarrow0$, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Sahand N. Negahban , Pradeep Ravikumar , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is widely used for sampling from high dimensional target distributions with densities known up to proportionality. While HMC exhibits favorable scaling properties in high dimensions, it struggles with strongly…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-30 Joonha Park

Molecular dynamics simulations using semi-empirical potentials are examined for three liquids to check the reliability of reverse Monte Carlo (RMC) simulations to reproduce atomic configurations when only total pair correlation functions…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-10-22 R. Ashcraft , K. F. Kelton

In this work, we propose a network which can utilize computational cheap low-fidelity data together with limited high-fidelity data to train surrogate models, where the multi-fidelity data are generated from multiple underlying models. The…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Yating Wang , Guang Lin

Dynamical systems in engineering and physics are often subject to irregular excitations that are best modeled as random. Monte Carlo simulations are routinely performed on such random models to obtain statistics on their long-term response.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Zhenwei Xu , Roshan S. Kaundinya , Shobhit Jain , George Haller

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) deployed to the real world are regularly subject to out-of-distribution (OoD) data, various types of noise, and shifting conceptual objectives. This paper proposes a framework for adapting to data distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Christopher Angelini , Nidhal Bouaynaya , Ghulam Rasool

Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs

Machine learning tools are commonly used in modern high energy physics (HEP) experiments. Different models, such as boosted decision trees (BDT) and artificial neural networks (ANN), are widely used in analyses and even in the software…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-21 A. Rogozhnikov

When the Standard Model is interpreted as the renormalizable sector of a low-energy effective theory, the effects of new physics are encoded into a set of higher dimensional operators. These operators potentially deform the shapes of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-08-28 Sylvain Fichet , Patricia Rebello Teles , Alberto Tonero

This work concerns control-oriented and structure-preserving learning of low-dimensional approximations of high-dimensional physical systems, with a focus on mechanical systems. We investigate the integration of neural autoencoders in model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Marco Lepri , Davide Bacciu , Cosimo Della Santina

Data-driven model predictive control (MPC) has demonstrated significant potential for improving robot control performance in the presence of model uncertainties. However, existing approaches often require extensive offline data collection…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yu Mei , Xinyu Zhou , Shuyang Yu , Vaibhav Srivastava , Xiaobo Tan

We consider Heterogeneous Transfer Learning (HTL) from a source to a new target domain for high-dimensional regression with differing feature sets. Most homogeneous TL methods assume that target and source domains share the same feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jae Ho Chang , Massimiliano Russo , Subhadeep Paul

We propose the use of Monte Carlo histogram reweighting to extrapolate predictions of machine learning methods. In our approach, we treat the output from a convolutional neural network as an observable in a statistical system, enabling its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-25 Dimitrios Bachtis , Gert Aarts , Biagio Lucini

This work is motivated by the need to study the impact of data uncertainties and material imperfections on the solution to optimal control problems constrained by partial differential equations. We consider a pathwise optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Ahmad Ahmad Ali , Elisabeth Ullmann , Michael Hinze