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Many stochastic optimization problems include chance constraints that enforce constraint satisfaction with a specific probability; however, solving an optimization problem with chance constraints assumes that the solver has access to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Joshua Comden , Ahmed S. Zamzam , Andrey Bernstein

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for data-driven decision-making under uncertainty in the presence of contextual information. Given a finite collection of observations of the uncertain parameters and potential explanatory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Miguel Angel Muñoz , Salvador Pineda , Juan Miguel Morales

In this paper, we develop a two-stage data-driven approach to address the adjustable robust optimization problem, where the uncertainty set is adjustable to manage infeasibility caused by significant or poorly quantified uncertainties. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xiaoxing Ren , Alessio Moreschini , Zhongda Chu , Yulong Gao , Thomas Parisini

This paper proposes risk-averse and risk-agnostic formulations to robust design in which solutions that satisfy the system requirements for a set of scenarios are pursued. These scenarios, which correspond to realizations of uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Luis G. Crespo , Bret Stanford , Natalia Alexandrov

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

The theory of covariance control and covariance steering (CS) deals with controlling the dispersion of trajectories of a dynamical system, under the implicit assumption that accurate prior knowledge of the system being controlled is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Traditional end-to-end contextual robust optimization models are trained for specific contextual data, requiring complete retraining whenever new contextual information arrives. This limitation hampers their use in online decision-making…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Carlos Gamboa , Alexandre Street , Davi Valladão , Bernardo Pagnocelli

Considering widely dispersed uncertain renewable energy sources (RESs), scenario-based stochastic optimization is an effective method for the economic dispatch of renewables-rich power systems. However, on classic computers, to simulate RES…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Xutao Han , Zhiyi Li , Yue Xu

Safe control of constrained linear systems under both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is considered. The aleatory uncertainty characterizes random noises and is modeled by a probability distribution function (PDF) and the epistemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Hamidreza Modares

Complex engineered systems require coordinated design choices across heterogeneous components under multiple conflicting objectives and uncertain specifications. Monotone co-design provides a compositional framework for such problems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Yujun Huang , Gioele Zardini

This paper proposes a new robust data-driven control method for linear systems with bounded disturbances, where the system model and disturbances are unknown. Due to disturbances, accurately determining the true system becomes challenging…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Kaijian Hu , Tao Liu

Two-stage robust unit commitment (RUC) models have been widely used for day-ahead energy and reserve scheduling under high renewable integration. The current state of the art relies on budget-constrained polyhedral uncertainty sets to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Alexandre Velloso , Alexandre Street , David Pozo , José M. Arroyo , Noemi G. Cobos

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

Robust optimization methods have shown practical advantages in a wide range of decision-making applications under uncertainty. Recently, their efficacy has been extended to multi-period settings. Current approaches model uncertainty either…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

Chance-constrained optimization (CCO) has been widely used for uncertainty management in power system operation. With the prevalence of wind energy, it becomes possible to consider the wind curtailment as a dispatch variable in CCO.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-06 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Junbo Zhao , Juan Yu

We propose a data-driven control method for systems with aleatoric uncertainty, for example, robot fleets with variations between agents. Our method leverages shared trajectory data to increase the robustness of the designed controller and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Alexander von Rohr , Dmitrii Likhachev , Sebastian Trimpe

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

Accurate platform localization is an integral component of most robotic systems. As these robotic systems become more ubiquitous, it is necessary to develop robust state estimation algorithms that are able to withstand novel and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman