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In this paper, we establish a moderate deviation principle for an abstract nonlinear equation forced by random noise of L\'evy type. This type of equation covers many hydrodynamical models, including stochastic 2D Navier-Stokes equations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Yue Li , Shijie Shang

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Using changes of probability measure developed by \mbox{Grama} and Haeusler (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000), we obtain two generalizations of the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtm\"{u}ller (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan

In this paper we survey and further study partial sums of a stationary process via approximation with a martingale with stationary differences. Such an approximation is useful for transferring from the martingale to the original process the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Magda Peligrad

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

Many machine learning and optimization algorithms are built upon the framework of stochastic approximation (SA), for which the selection of step-size (or learning rate) $\{\alpha_n\}$ is crucial for success. An essential condition for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

This paper contributes to the study of relative martingales. Specifically, for a closed random set $H$, they are processes null on $H$ which decompose as $M=m+v$, where $m$ is a c\`adl\`ag uniformly integrable martingale and, $v$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Fulgence Eyi Obiang , Paule Joyce Mbenangoya , Ibrahima Faye , Octave Moutsinga

We study the approximation of stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. For the mean-square error at a single point we derive the optimal rate of convergence that can be achieved…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-19 Andreas Neuenkirch

We study the weakly asymmetric simple exclusion process in one dimension. We prove sample path moderate deviation principles for the current and the tagged particle when the process starts from one of its stationary measures. We simplify…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

We consider a Markov chain $(x_n)$ whose kernel is indexed by a scaling parameter $\gamma>0$, refered to as the step size. The aim is to analyze the behavior of the Markov chain in the doubly asymptotic regime where $n\to\infty$ then…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Adil Salim

The stochastic partial differential equation approach to Gaussian processes (GPs) represents Mat\'ern GP priors in terms of $n$ finite element basis functions and Gaussian coefficients with sparse precision matrix. Such representations…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-11 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

This work is concerned with the large deviation principle for a family of slow-fast systems perturbed by infinite-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac12,1)$. We adopt the weak convergence method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Wenting Xu , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang , Bin Pei

Inspired by a recent paper of I. Grama, E. Le Page and M. Peign\'e, we consider a sequence $(g_n)_{n \geq 1}$ of i.i.d. random $d\times d$-matrices with non-negative entries and study the fluctuations of the process $(\log \vert g_n\cdots…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 C. Pham

We use Stein's method to bound the Wasserstein distance of order $2$ between a measure $\nu$ and the Gaussian measure using a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ such that $X_t$ is drawn from $\nu$ for any $t > 0$. If the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Thomas Bonis

In this paper, we study self-normalized moderate deviations for degenerate { $U$}-statistics of order $2$. Let $\{X_i, i \geq 1\}$ be i.i.d. random variables and consider symmetric and degenerate kernel functions in the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Lin Ge , Hailin Sang , Qi-Man Shao

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

The rigorous linking of exact stochastic models to mean-field approximations is studied. Starting from the differential equation point of view the stochastic model is identified by its Kolmogorov equations, which is a system of linear ODEs…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-09-19 András Bátkai , Istvan Z. Kiss , Eszter Sikolya , Péter L. Simon