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Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

Diffusion-based and iterative methods have become effective tools for solving imaging inverse problems. Their reconstruction process naturally forms a trajectory of intermediate estimates. Although these intermediate estimates define a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Chaoyan Huang , Haijie Yuan , Saiprasad Ravishankar

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Imputing missing values in spatial-temporal traffic data is essential for intelligent transportation systems. Among advanced imputation methods, score-based diffusion models have demonstrated competitive performance. These models generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Xiaowei Mao , Huihu Ding , Yan Lin , Tingrui Wu , Shengnan Guo , Dazhuo Qiu , Feiling Fang , Jilin Hu , Huaiyu Wan

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

Trajectory prediction facilitates effective planning and decision-making, while constrained trajectory prediction integrates regulation into prediction. Recent advances in constrained trajectory prediction focus on structured constraints by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Hao Ma , Zhiqiang Pu , Shijie Wang , Boyin Liu , Huimu Wang , Yanyan Liang , Jianqiang Yi

Reliable mathematical and scientific reasoning remains an open challenge for large vision-language models. Standard final-answer evaluation often masks reasoning errors, allowing silent failures to persist. To address this gap, we introduce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Shima Imani , Seungwhan Moon , Lambert Mathias , Lu Zhang , Babak Damavandi

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

Many optimization tasks involve streaming data with unknown concept drifts, posing a significant challenge as Streaming Data-Driven Optimization (SDDO). Existing methods, while leveraging surrogate model approximation and historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yuan-Ting Zhong , Ting Huang , Xiaolin Xiao , Yue-Jiao Gong

Alignments provide sophisticated diagnostics that pinpoint deviations in a trace with respect to a process model and their severity. However, approaches based on trace alignments use crisp process models as reference and recent…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Giacomo Bergami , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Marco Montali , Rafael Peñaloza

Diffusion models and flow matching have demonstrated remarkable success in text-to-image generation. While many existing alignment methods primarily focus on fine-tuning pre-trained generative models to maximize a given reward function,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Yidong Ouyang , Liyan Xie , Hongyuan Zha , Guang Cheng

3D medical image generation is essential for data augmentation and patient privacy, calling for reliable and efficient models suited for clinical practice. However, current methods suffer from limited anatomical fidelity, restricted axial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Minye Shao , Xingyu Miao , Haoran Duan , Zeyu Wang , Jingkun Chen , Yawen Huang , Xian Wu , Jingjing Deng , Yang Long , Yefeng Zheng

Learning to compute, the ability to model the functional behavior of a circuit graph, is a fundamental challenge for graph representation learning. Yet, the dominant paradigm is architecturally mismatched for this task. This flawed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ziyang Zheng , Jiaying Zhu , Jingyi Zhou , Qiang Xu

We develop an inferential toolkit for analyzing object-valued responses, which correspond to data situated in general metric spaces, paired with Euclidean predictors within the conformal framework. To this end we introduce conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hang Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

The ubiquity of dynamic data in domains such as weather, healthcare, and energy underscores a growing need for effective interpretation and retrieval of time-series data. These data are inherently tied to domain-specific contexts, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jialin Chen , Ziyu Zhao , Gaukhar Nurbek , Aosong Feng , Ali Maatouk , Leandros Tassiulas , Yifeng Gao , Rex Ying

This paper investigates the connections between rectified flows, flow matching, and optimal transport. Flow matching is a recent approach to learning generative models by estimating velocity fields that guide transformations from a source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Johannes Hertrich , Antonin Chambolle , Julie Delon

Density estimation and reliable prediction regions for outputs are crucial in supervised and unsupervised learning. While conformal prediction effectively generates coverage-guaranteed regions, it struggles with multi-dimensional outputs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Zhenhan Fang , Aixin Tan , Jian Huang

This paper presents a new conformal method for generating simultaneous forecasting bands guaranteed to cover the entire path of a new random trajectory with sufficiently high probability. Prompted by the need for dependable uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-16 Yanfei Zhou , Lars Lindemann , Matteo Sesia

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen
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