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The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

Discovery problems often require deciding whether additional sampling is needed to detect all categories whose prevalence exceeds a prespecified threshold. We study this question under a Bernoulli product (incidence) model, where categories…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Alessandro Colombi , Mario Beraha , Amichai Painsky , Stefano Favaro

Throughout many fields, practitioners often rely on differential equations to model systems. Yet, for many applications, the theoretical derivation of such equations and/or accurate resolution of their solutions may be intractable. Instead,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Grant Norman , Jacqueline Wentz , Hemanth Kolla , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

Motivated by modern applications such as computerized adaptive testing, sequential rank aggregation, and heterogeneous data source selection, we study the problem of active sequential estimation, which involves adaptively selecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Xiaoou Li , Hongru Zhao

Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding between exposure and outcome. An IV must affect the outcome exclusively through the exposure and be unconfounded with the…

Feature selection is an important but challenging task in causal inference for obtaining unbiased estimates of causal quantities. Properly selected features in causal inference not only significantly reduce the time required to implement a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Maggie Makar , Fredrik D. Johansson , John Guttag , David Sontag

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental obstacle to establishing valid causal conclusions from observational data. Two complementary types of approaches have been developed to address this obstacle: obtaining identification using fortuitous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Ilya Shpitser , Zach Wood-Doughty , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We study the problem of causal structure learning from a combination of observational and interventional data generated by a linear non-Gaussian structural equation model that might contain cycles. Recent results show that using mere…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Ehsan Sharifian , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

For an optimization problem $\Pi$ on graphs whose solutions are vertex sets, a vertex $v$ is called $c$-essential for $\Pi$ if all solutions of size at most $c \cdot OPT$ contain $v$. Recent work showed that polynomial-time algorithms to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Bart M. P. Jansen , Ruben F. A. Verhaegh

Given a hypergraph with uncertain node weights following known probability distributions, we study the problem of querying as few nodes as possible until the identity of a node with minimum weight can be determined for each hyperedge.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Evripidis Bampis , Christoph Dürr , Thomas Erlebach , Murilo S. de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

We study the problem of robust information selection for a Bayesian hypothesis testing / classification task, where the goal is to identify the true state of the world from a finite set of hypotheses based on observations from the selected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-24 Jayanth Bhargav , Shreyas Sundaram , Mahsa Ghasemi

We introduce the \emph{submodular objectives chasing problem}, which generalizes many natural and previously-studied problems: a sequence of constrained submodular maximization problems is revealed over time, with both the objective and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Niv Buchbinder , Joseph , Naor , David Wajc

Due to unmeasured confounding, it is often not possible to identify causal effects from a postulated model. Nevertheless, we can ask for partial identification, which usually boils down to finding upper and lower bounds of a causal quantity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Jakob Zeitler , Ricardo Silva

This paper introduces a framework for estimating fair optimal predictions using machine learning where the notion of fairness can be quantified using path-specific causal effects. We use a recently developed approach based on Lagrange…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

The Densest Subgraph Problem (DSP) is widely used to identify community structures and patterns in networks such as bioinformatics and social networks. While solvable in polynomial time, traditional exact algorithms face computational and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Dorit S. Hochbaum , Ayleen Irribarra-Cortés , Olivier Goldschmidt , Roberto Asín-Achá

We explore algorithms to select actions in the causal bandit setting where the learner can choose to intervene on a set of random variables related by a causal graph, and the learner sequentially chooses interventions and observes a sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Alan Malek , Virginia Aglietti , Silvia Chiappa

From observational data alone, a causal DAG is only identifiable up to Markov equivalence. Interventional data generally improves identifiability; however, the gain of an intervention strongly depends on the intervention target, that is,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 Alain Hauser , Peter Bühlmann

Sequential multi-class diagnosis, also known as multi-hypothesis testing, is a classical sequential decision problem with broad applications. However, the optimal solution remains, in general, unknown as the dynamic program suffers from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Jue Wang

We study parametric inference on a rich class of hazard regression models in the presence of right-censoring. Previous literature has reported some inferential challenges, such as multimodal or flat likelihood surfaces, in this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 F. J. Rubio , J. A. Espindola , J. A. Montoya