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This paper introduces a methodology for constructing a market index composed of a liquid risky asset and a liquid risk-free asset that achieves a fixed target volatility. Existing volatility-targeting strategies typically scale portfolio…

We introduce a novel rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model featuring a variance-driven exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) time-dependent Hurst parameter $H_t$, fundamentally distinct from recent machine learning and wavelet-based…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Jayanth Athipatla

We derive asymptotic expansions for the prices of a variety of European and barrier-style claims in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Our method combines Taylor series expansions of the diffusion coefficients with an expansion…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Weston Barger , Matthew Lorig

In quantitative finance, modeling the volatility structure of underlying assets is vital to pricing options. Rough stochastic volatility models, such as the rough Bergomi model [Bayer, Friz, Gatheral, Quantitative Finance 16(6), 887-904,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-16 Christian Bayer , Eric Joseph Hall , Raúl Tempone

In mathematical finance, a process of calibrating stochastic volatility (SV) option pricing models to real market data involves a numerical calculation of integrals that depend on several model parameters. This optimization task consists of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Josef Daněk , J. Pospíšil

In stochastic Volterra rough volatility models, the volatility follows a truncated Brownian semi-stationary process with stochastic vol-of-vol. Recently, efficient VIX pricing Monte Carlo methods have been proposed for the case where the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Henrique Guerreiro , João Guerra

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

This paper expands on stochastic volatility models by proposing a data-driven method to select the macroeconomic events most likely to impact volatility. The paper identifies and quantifies the effects of macroeconomic events across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Igor Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

Based on a criterion of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 R. Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira , A. M. Rodrigues

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have successfully been used in many applications in engineering, statistics and physics. However, these are seldom used in financial option pricing literature and practice. This paper presents SMC method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Pierre Del Moral

A time-dependent double-barrier option is a derivative security that delivers the terminal value $\phi(S_T)$ at expiry $T$ if neither of the continuous time-dependent barriers $b_\pm:[0,T]\to \RR_+$ have been hit during the time interval…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Aleksandar Mijatovic

In this paper, we investigate mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection problems with jumps in a regime-switching financial model. The novelty of our approach lies in allowing not only the market parameters -- such as the interest rate,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-29 Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

We present a new class of Bayesian dynamic models for bivariate price-realized volatility time series in financial forecasting. A novel dynamic gamma process model adopted for realized volatility is integrated with traditional Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Patrick Woitschig , Mike West

The X-valuation adjustment (XVA) problem, which is a recent topic in mathematical finance, is considered and analyzed. First, the basic properties of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with a random horizon in a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Jun Sekine , Akihiro Tanaka

We introduce a canonical way of performing the joint lift of a Brownian motion $W$ and a low-regularity adapted stochastic rough path $\mathbf{X}$, extending [Diehl, Oberhauser and Riedel (2015). A L\'evy area between Brownian motion and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Ofelia Bonesini , Emilio Ferrucci , Ioannis Gasteratos , Antoine Jacquier

Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form. The most popular parametrizations are based on or inspired by an underlying stochastic model, like the Heston model (SVI method) or the SABR model (SABR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Nicola F. Zaugg , Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

We present a detailed analysis of \emph{observable} moments based parameter estimators for the Heston SDEs jointly driving the rate of returns $R_t$ and the squared volatilities $V_t$. Since volatilities are not directly observable, our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

We derive representations of local risk-minimization of call and put options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models: jump type stochastic volatility models whose squared volatility process is given by a non-Gaussian rnstein-Uhlenbeck…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Takuji Arai