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In this paper, we propose an online learning-based predictive control (LPC) approach designed for nonlinear systems that lack explicit system dynamics. Unlike traditional model predictive control (MPC) algorithms that rely on known system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Yuanqing Zhang , Huanshui Zhang

Approximate model-predictive control (AMPC) aims to imitate an MPC's behavior with a neural network, removing the need to solve an expensive optimization problem at runtime. However, during deployment, the parameters of the underlying MPC…

Online conformal prediction enables the runtime calibration of a pre-trained artificial intelligence model using feedback on its performance. Calibration is achieved through set predictions that are updated via online rules so as to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Bowen Wang , Matteo Zecchin , Osvaldo Simeone

We consider the problem of learning in a non-stationary reinforcement learning (RL) environment, where the setting can be fully described by a piecewise stationary discrete-time Markov decision process (MDP). We introduce a variant of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Reda Alami , Mohammed Mahfoud , Eric Moulines

Recent work has developed a non-parametric Bayesian approach to the calibration of a computer model, which abstractly amounts to the inversion of a pushforward of stochastic input parameters by a smooth map. The framework has been used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Akshay Prasadan , Donald Estep , Derek Bingham

Commonly adopted in the manufacturing and aerospace sectors, digital twin (DT) platforms are increasingly seen as a promising paradigm to control, monitor, and analyze software-based, "open", communication systems. Notably, DT platforms…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-30 Clement Ruah , Osvaldo Simeone , Bashir Al-Hashimi

Model Updating is frequently used in Structural Health Monitoring to determine structures' operating conditions and whether maintenance is required. Data collected by sensors are used to update the values of some initially unknown…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-23 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

Accurate extrinsic calibration of LiDAR, RADAR, and camera sensors is essential for reliable perception in autonomous vehicles. Still, it remains challenging due to factors such as mechanical vibrations and cumulative sensor drift in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Hafeez Husain Cholakkal , Stefano Arrigoni , Francesco Braghin

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this work we combine two distinct machine learning methodologies, sequential Monte Carlo and Bayesian experimental design, and apply them to the problem of inferring the dynamical parameters of a quantum system. We design the algorithm…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-10 Christopher E. Granade , Christopher Ferrie , Nathan Wiebe , D. G. Cory

Modeling complex physical systems such as they arise in civil engineering applications requires finding a trade-off between physical fidelity and practicality. Consequently, deviations of simulation from measurements are ubiquitous even…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

Digital twins promise to enhance robotic manipulation by maintaining a consistent link between real-world perception and simulation. However, most existing systems struggle with the lack of a unified model, complex dynamic interactions, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yichen Cai , Paul Jansonnie , Cristiana de Farias , Oleg Arenz , Jan Peters

We present a Bayesian inversion-based digital twin that employs acoustic pressure data from seafloor sensors, along with 3D coupled acoustic-gravity wave equations, to infer earthquake-induced spatiotemporal seafloor motion in real time and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Stefan Henneking , Sreeram Venkat , Veselin Dobrev , John Camier , Tzanio Kolev , Milinda Fernando , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Omar Ghattas

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

The prompt online detection of abrupt changes in image data is essential for timely decision-making in broad applications, from video surveillance to manufacturing quality control. Existing methods, however, face three key challenges.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Xiaojun Zheng , Simon Mak

In this paper, we present a nonlinear robust model predictive control (MPC) framework for general (state and input dependent) disturbances. This approach uses an online constructed tube in order to tighten the nominal (state and input)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-05 Johannes Köhler , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Nonparametric estimation using uniform-width binning is a standard approach for evaluating the calibration performance of machine learning models. However, existing theoretical analyses of the bias induced by binning are limited to binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Masahiro Fujisawa , Futoshi Futami

Identifying parameters of computational models from experimental data, or model calibration, is fundamental for assessing and improving the predictability and reliability of computer simulations. In this work, we propose a method for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-08-07 Lianghao Cao , Keyi Wu , J. Tinsley Oden , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

This paper investigates the problem of robust model predictive control (RMPC) of linear-time-invariant (LTI) discrete-time systems subject to structured uncertainty and bounded disturbances. Typically, the constrained RMPC problem with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-18 Anastasis Georgiou , Furqan Tahir , Imad M. Jaimoukha , Simos A. Evangelou

In this paper, a hyperparameter tuning based Bayesian optimization of digital twins is carried out to diagnose various faults in grid connected inverters. As fault detection and diagnosis require very high precision, we channelize our…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Pavol Mulinka , Subham Sahoo , Charalampos Kalalas , Pedro H. J. Nardelli