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Related papers: Time-sensitive anytime-valid testing

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E-values and E-processes (nonnegative supermartingales) provide anytime-valid evidence for sequential testing via Ville's inequality, yet their connection to Bayesian reasoning, representational structure, and computational feasibility are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

A basic assumption of traditional reinforcement learning is that the value of a reward does not change once it is received by an agent. The present work forgoes this assumption and considers the situation where the value of a reward decays…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Taylor Dohmen , Ashutosh Trivedi

Modern predictive models are often deployed to environments in which computational budgets are dynamic. Anytime algorithms are well-suited to such environments as, at any point during computation, they can output a prediction whose quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Metod Jazbec , James Urquhart Allingham , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick

We develop anytime-valid tests of invariance under the action of compact groups. The resulting test statistics are optimal in a logarithmic-growth sense. We apply our method to extend recent anytime-valid tests of independence and to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Tyron Lardy , Muriel Felipe Pérez-Ortiz

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

Many continuous-control problems ship with a competent but suboptimal controller (a tuned PID, a hand-designed gait). A growing family of methods uses such controllers as queryable experts during RL, but each method has been proposed in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yann Berthelot , Philippe Preux , Riad Akrour

Reward specification plays a central role in reinforcement learning (RL), guiding the agent's behavior. To express non-Markovian rewards, formalisms such as reward machines have been introduced to capture dependencies on histories. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Rajarshi Roy , Anirban Majumdar , Ritam Raha , David Parker , Marta Kwiatkowska

In this paper we characterize sharp time-data tradeoffs for optimization problems used for solving linear inverse problems. We focus on the minimization of a least-squares objective subject to a constraint defined as the sub-level set of a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-01-06 Samet Oymak , Benjamin Recht , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

For continuous systems modeled by dynamical equations such as ODEs and SDEs, Bellman's Principle of Optimality takes the form of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, which provides the theoretical target of reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Haruki Settai , Naoya Takeishi , Takehisa Yairi

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

We consider the problem of sequentially optimizing a time-varying objective function using time-varying Bayesian optimization (TVBO). Current approaches to TVBO require prior knowledge of a constant rate of change to cope with stale data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Paul Brunzema , Alexander von Rohr , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

We study the exploration problem with approximate linear action-value functions in episodic reinforcement learning under the notion of low inherent Bellman error, a condition normally employed to show convergence of approximate value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Andrea Zanette , Alessandro Lazaric , Mykel Kochenderfer , Emma Brunskill

Overconservatism has long been recognized as a major issue with robust optimization, despite its key advantages of tractability, performance guarantee, and limited information. To address this issue, a new criterion is proposed that can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Yingjie Lan

We study whether a risk-sensitive objective from asset-pricing theory -- recursive utility -- improves reinforcement learning for portfolio allocation. The Bellman equation under recursive utility involves a certainty equivalent (CE) of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-25 Minkey Chang

Models in the supervised learning framework may capture rich and complex representations over the features that are hard for humans to interpret. Existing methods to explain such models are often specific to architectures and data where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Akshay Sood , Mark Craven

In this paper we propose novel optimization-based methods for verifying reach-avoid (or, eventuality) properties of continuous-time systems modelled by ordinary differential equations. Given a system, an initial set, a safe set and a target…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Bai Xue , Naijun Zhan , Martin Fränzle , Ji Wang , Wanwei Liu

Fully test-time adaptation aims at adapting a pre-trained model to the test stream during real-time inference, which is urgently required when the test distribution differs from the training distribution. Several efforts have been devoted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Bowen Zhao , Chen Chen , Shu-Tao Xia

This paper presents a Newton-based stochastic extremum-seeking control method for real-time optimization in multi-input systems with distinct input delays. It combines predictor-based feedback and Hessian inverse estimation via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Paulo Cesar Souza Silva , Paulo Cesar Pellanda , Tiago Roux Oliveira