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Accurate financial volatility forecasting is crucial but challenged by the non-linear, highly correlated nature of market data. Recently, quantum computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for solving complex high-dimensional sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yixiong Chen

A linear mixed-effects (LME) model is proposed for modelling and forecasting single and multi-population age-specific death rates (ASDRs). The innovative approach that we take in this study treats age, the interaction between gender and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Reza Dastranj , Martin Kolar

We propose a hybrid meta-learning framework for forecasting and anomaly detection in nonlinear dynamical systems characterized by nonstationary and stochastic behavior. The approach integrates a physics-inspired simulator that captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Abdullah Burkan Bereketoglu

The decline in interest rates and economic stabilization has heightened the importance of accurate mortality rate forecasting, particularly in insurance and pension markets. Multi-step-ahead predictions are crucial for public health,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Filipe C. L. Duarte , Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto , Paulo R. A. Firmino

In this study, we propose a novel adaptive control architecture, which provides dramatically better transient response performance compared to conventional adaptive control methods. What makes this architecture unique is the synergistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-09 Emirhan Inanc , Yigit Gurses , Abdullah Habboush , Yildiray Yildiz , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

Undoubtedly, several countries worldwide endure to experience a continuous increase in life expectancy, extending the challenges of life actuaries and demographers in forecasting mortality. Although several stochastic mortality models have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mario Marino , Susanna Levantesi , Andrea Nigri

We present neural frailty machine (NFM), a powerful and flexible neural modeling framework for survival regressions. The NFM framework utilizes the classical idea of multiplicative frailty in survival analysis to capture unobserved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Ruofan Wu , Jiawei Qiao , Mingzhe Wu , Wen Yu , Ming Zheng , Tengfei Liu , Tianyi Zhang , Weiqiang Wang

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

Recent studies have shown that a hybrid of self-attention networks (SANs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs) outperforms both individual architectures, while not much is known about why the hybrid models work. With the belief that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-11-18 Jie Hao , Xing Wang , Shuming Shi , Jinfeng Zhang , Zhaopeng Tu

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at forecasting tasks and quantifying the associated uncertainty with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Exponential Smoothing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

Concurrent estimation and control of robotic systems remains an ongoing challenge, where controllers rely on data extracted from states/parameters riddled with uncertainties and noises. Framework suitability hinges on task complexity and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Reza Ahmadvand , Sarah Safura Sharif , Yaser Mike Banad

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

Predictive maintenance in aerospace heavily relies on accurate estimation of the remaining useful life of jet engines. In this paper, we introduce a Hybrid Quantum Recurrent Neural Network framework, combining Quantum Long Short-Term Memory…

Multimorbidity in older adults is common, heterogeneous, and highly dynamic, and it is strongly associated with disability and increased healthcare utilization. However, existing approaches to studying multimorbidity trajectories are…

Financial returns are known to exhibit heavy tails, volatility clustering and abrupt jumps that are poorly captured by classical diffusion models. Advances in machine learning have enabled highly flexible functional forms for conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Ziyao Wang , Svetlozar T Rachev

This paper presents MIS-LSTM, a hybrid framework that joins CNN encoders with an LSTM sequence model for sleep quality and stress prediction at the day level from multimodal lifelog data. Continuous sensor streams are first partitioned into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Seongwan Park , Jieun Woo , Siheon Yang

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) are widely used in the financial sector to measure the market risk and manage the extreme market movement. The recent link between the quantile score function and the Asymmetric Laplace…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-14 Zhengkun Li , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Junbin Gao

The nonlinear nature of chaotic systems results in extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and highly intricate dynamical behaviors, posing fundamental challenges for accurately predicting their evolution. To overcome the limitation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Junwen Ma , Mingyu Ge , Yisen Wang , Yong Zhang , Weicheng Fu

This work proposes a new machine learning (ML)-based paradigm aiming to enhance the computational efficiency of non-equilibrium reacting flow simulations while ensuring compliance with the underlying physics. The framework combines…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-09-25 Ivan Zanardi , Simone Venturi , Marco Panesi

Traditional Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units operate on discrete time steps, often failing to capture the fluid temporal dynamics of real-world physical processes. Liquid Neural Networks (LNNs),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Ye Kyaw Thu , Thazin Myint Oo , Thepchai Supnithi
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