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This paper presents a conformal prediction method for classification in highly imbalanced and open-set settings, where there are many possible classes and not all may be represented in the data. Existing approaches require a finite, known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Tianmin Xie , Yanfei Zhou , Ziyi Liang , Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Shai Feldman , Yaniv Romano

In this paper, we solve the problem of finding a certified control policy that drives a robot from any given initial state and under any bounded disturbance to the desired reference trajectory, with guarantees on the convergence or bounds…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Dawei Sun , Susmit Jha , Chuchu Fan

Commit Classification (CC) is an important task in software maintenance, which helps software developers classify code changes into different types according to their nature and purpose. It allows developers to understand better how their…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jiajun Tong , Zhixiao Wang , Xiaobin Rui

Conformal prediction is an emerging technique for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with a predefined probability. Previous works often employ temperature scaling to calibrate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Huajun Xi , Jianguo Huang , Kangdao Liu , Lei Feng , Hongxin Wei

The clinical explainability of convolutional neural networks (CNN) heavily relies on the joint interpretation of a model's predicted diagnostic label and associated confidence. A highly certain or uncertain model can significantly impact…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-24 Adrit Rao , Joon-Young Lee , Oliver Aalami

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

Filter level pruning is an effective method to accelerate the inference speed of deep CNN models. Although numerous pruning algorithms have been proposed, there are still two open issues. The first problem is how to prune residual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Jian-Hao Luo , Jianxin Wu

Consistency regularization on label predictions becomes a fundamental technique in semi-supervised learning, but it still requires a large number of training iterations for high performance. In this study, we analyze that the consistency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Doyup Lee , Sungwoong Kim , Ildoo Kim , Yeongjae Cheon , Minsu Cho , Wook-Shin Han

We extend the method of conformal prediction beyond the case relying on labeled calibration data. Replacing the calibration scores by suitable estimates, we identify conformity sets $C$ for classification and regression models that rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jonas Flechsig , Maximilian Pilz

Clinical machine learning applications are often plagued with confounders that are clinically irrelevant, but can still artificially boost the predictive performance of the algorithms. Confounding is especially problematic in mobile health…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-29 Elias Chaibub Neto

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

We study conformal prediction in the one-shot federated learning setting. The main goal is to compute marginally and training-conditionally valid prediction sets, at the server-level, in only one round of communication between the agents…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Pierre Humbert , Batiste Le Bars , Aurélien Bellet , Sylvain Arlot

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

In most machine learning applications, classification accuracy is not the primary metric of interest. Binary classifiers which face class imbalance are often evaluated by the $F_\beta$ score, area under the precision-recall curve, Precision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alan Mackey , Xiyang Luo , Elad Eban

Conformal regression provides prediction intervals with global coverage guarantees, but often fails to capture local error distributions, leading to non-homogeneous coverage. We address this with a new adaptive method based on rescaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Nicolas Deutschmann , Mattia Rigotti , Maria Rodriguez Martinez

Volumetry is one of the principal downstream applications of 3D medical image segmentation, for example, to detect abnormal tissue growth or for surgery planning. Conformal Prediction is a promising framework for uncertainty quantification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Michel Dojat

We consider calibration of convolutional classifiers for diagnostic decision making. Clinical decision makers can use calibrated classifiers to minimise expected costs given their own cost function. Such functions are usually unknown at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Stephen McKenna , Jacob Carse

Weighting and trimming are popular methods for addressing positivity violations in causal inference. While well-studied with single-timepoint data, standard methods do not easily generalize to address non-baseline positivity violations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Alec McClean , Alexander W. Levis , Nicholas Williams , Ivan Diaz

Training deep neural models in the presence of corrupted supervision is challenging as the corrupted data points may significantly impact the generalization performance. To alleviate this problem, we present an efficient robust algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Boyang Liu , Mengying Sun , Ding Wang , Pang-Ning Tan , Jiayu Zhou