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Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

A model has two main aims: predicting the behavior of a physical system and understanding its nature, that is how it works, at some desired level of abstraction. A promising recent approach to model building consists in deriving a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-26 Marco Baldovin , Andrea Puglisi , Angelo Vulpiani

We develop an efficient sampling method by simulating Langevin dynamics with an artificial force rather than a natural force by using the gradient of the potential energy. The standard technique for sampling following the predetermined…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-30 M. Ohzeki , A. Ichiki

We provide convergence guarantees in Wasserstein distance for a variety of variance-reduction methods: SAGA Langevin diffusion, SVRG Langevin diffusion and control-variate underdamped Langevin diffusion. We analyze these methods under a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-16 Niladri S. Chatterji , Nicolas Flammarion , Yi-An Ma , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

Sampling from a target distribution is a fundamental problem. Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, such as the unadjusted Langevin algorithm (ULA), derived from the overdamped Langevin dynamics, have been extensively…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Xinzhe Zuo , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

We introduce stochastic models for continuous-time evolution of angles and develop their estimation. We focus on studying Langevin diffusions with stationary distributions equal to well-known distributions from directional statistics, since…

We consider the parallel-in-time solution of hyperbolic partial differential equation (PDE) systems in one spatial dimension, both linear and nonlinear. In the nonlinear setting, the discretized equations are solved with a preconditioned…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-10 O. A. Krzysik , H. De Sterck , R. D. Falgout , J. B. Schroder

We obtain the first probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems. The underlying stochastic dynamics is a one-dimensional, time-inhomogeneous diffusion. The gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Tiziano De Angelis , Damien Lamberton

We consider distributionally robust optimal control of stochastic linear systems under signal temporal logic (STL) chance constraints when the disturbance distribution is unknown. By assuming that the underlying predicate functions are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Arash Bahari Kordabad , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Sadegh Soudjani

Incipient slip detection provides critical feedback for robotic grasping and manipulation tasks. However, maintaining its adaptability under diverse object properties and complex working conditions remains challenging. This article…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Mingxuan Li , Lunwei Zhang , Qiyin Huang , Tiemin Li , Yao Jiang

We study linear parabolic initial-value problems in a space-time variational formulation based on fractional calculus. This formulation uses "time derivatives of order one half" on the bi-infinite time axis. We show that for linear,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Stig Larsson , Christoph Schwab

Spatio-temporal forecasting is challenging attributing to the high nonlinearity in temporal dynamics as well as complex location-characterized patterns in spatial domains, especially in fields like weather forecasting. Graph convolutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Haitao Lin , Zhangyang Gao , Yongjie Xu , Lirong Wu , Ling Li , Stan. Z. Li

For a class of ergodic parabolic semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with gradient structure, we introduce a preconditioning technique and design high-order integrators for the approximation of the invariant…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Adrien Busnot Laurent , Arnaud Debussche , Gilles Vilmart

We present and analyze a space-time Petrov-Galerkin finite element method for a time-fractional diffusion equation involving a Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$ in time and zero initial data. We derive a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Beiping Duan , Bangti Jin , Raytcho Lazarov , Joseph Pasciak , Zhi Zhou

Bayesian methods of sampling from a posterior distribution are becoming increasingly popular due to their ability to precisely display the uncertainty of a model fit. Classical methods based on iterative random sampling and posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Jacopo Guidolin , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Ondřej Kuželka

We study hypercontractivity for the underdamped Langevin dynamics with a convex confining potential. Unlike in the overdamped case, the noise acts only on the velocity variable, so the usual argument based on the logarithmic Sobolev…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Bowen Li , Jianfeng Lu

We propose and analyze a class of adaptive sampling algorithms for multimodal distributions on a bounded domain, which share a structural resemblance to the classic overdamped Langevin dynamics. We first demonstrate that this class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Björn Engquist , Kui Ren , Yunan Yang

In this paper, we consider non-diffusive variational problems with mixed boundary conditions and (distributional and weak) gradient constraints. The upper bound in the constraint is either a function or a Borel measure, leading to the state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Harbir Antil , Rafael Arndt , Carlos N. Rautenberg , Deepanshu Verma

The characterization of particle diffusion is a classical problem in physics and probability theory. The field of microrheology is based on experiments in which microscopic tracer beads are placed into a non-Newtonian fluid and tracked…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Gustavo Didier , John Fricks

Earth system forecasting has traditionally relied on complex physical models that are computationally expensive and require significant domain expertise. In the past decade, the unprecedented increase in spatiotemporal Earth observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Zhihan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Boran Han , Hao Wang , Xiaoyong Jin , Danielle Maddix , Yi Zhu , Mu Li , Yuyang Wang