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Neural Controlled Differential Equations (Neural CDEs) provide a powerful continuous-time framework for sequence modeling, yet the roughness of the driving control path often restricts their efficiency. Standard splines introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Egor Serov , Ilya Kuleshov , Alexey Zaytsev

The purpose of this paper is to establish asymptotic behaviors of time-inhomogeneous multi-scale stochastic differential equations (SDEs). To achieve them, we analyze the evolution system of measures for time-inhomogeneous Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Xiaobin Sun , Jian Wang , Yingchao Xie

In this paper, we address the issue of modeling and estimating changes in the state of the spatio-temporal dynamical systems based on a sequence of observations like video frames. Traditional numerical simulation systems depend largely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Guibin Zhang , Junfeng Fang , Yuxuan Liang , Yuankai Wu , Roger Zimmermann , Yang Wang

The discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) is a challenging task that involves both theoretical and empirical methods. Machine learning approaches have been developed and used to solve this problem; however, it is important to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-09 Kalpesh More , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Understanding the training dynamics of deep learning models is perhaps a necessary step toward demystifying the effectiveness of these models. In particular, how do data from different classes gradually become separable in their feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Jiayao Zhang , Hua Wang , Weijie J. Su

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

We propose an observation-driven modeling framework that allows model parameters to vary over time through an implicit score-driven (ISD) update. The ISD update maximizes the logarithmic observation density with respect to the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

We introduce a novel grid-independent model for learning partial differential equations (PDEs) from noisy and partial observations on irregular spatiotemporal grids. We propose a space-time continuous latent neural PDE model with an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Valerii Iakovlev , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

We investigate neural ordinary and stochastic differential equations (neural ODEs and SDEs) to model stochastic dynamics in fully and partially observed environments within a model-based reinforcement learning (RL) framework. Through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Chao Han , Stefanos Ioannou , Luca Manneschi , T. J. Hayward , Michael Mangan , Aditya Gilra , Eleni Vasilaki

We present a method for learning latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from high-dimensional time series data. Given a high-dimensional time series generated from a lower dimensional latent unknown It\^o process, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Ali Hasan , João M. Pereira , Sina Farsiu , Vahid Tarokh

Observational data are often accompanied by natural structural indices, such as time stamps or geographic locations, which are meaningful to prediction tasks but are often discarded. We leverage semantically meaningful indexing data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Esther Rolf , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

Score-based generative modeling (SBGM) has achieved state-of-the-art performance in image generation, with the quality of generated images being highly dependent on the design of the forward (diffusion) process. Among these, models based on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sascha Holl , Jente Vandersanden , Gurprit Singh , Hans-Peter Seidel

In complex physical systems, conventional differential equations often fall short in capturing non-local and memory effects, as they are limited to local dynamics and integer-order interactions. This study introduces a stepwise data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-30 Xiangnan Yu , Hao Xu , Zhiping Mao , HongGuang Sun , Yong Zhang , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen

In this paper, we introduce a new simple approach to developing and establishing the convergence of splitting methods for a large class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), including additive, diagonal and scalar noise types. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-11 James Foster , Goncalo dos Reis , Calum Strange

There is great interest in ecology to understand how wild animals are affected by anthropogenic disturbances, such as sounds. Behavioural response studies are an important approach to quantify the impact of naval activity on marine mammals.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-20 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Len Thomas , Nicola Quick , Catriona M. Harris

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

The discovery of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) is an essential task for applied science and engineering. However, data-driven discovery of PDEs is generally challenging, primarily stemming from the sensitivity of the discovered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-27 Aoxue Chen , Yifan Du , Liyao Mars Gao , Guang Lin